U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator

U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. It is a contrarian indicator. A bullish signal suggests that the U.S. stock market may go up, while a bearish signal…

Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator

This powerful indicator looks into the US stock market and suggests whether it is bullish, bearish or neutral Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the US stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. It is a contrarian indicator. A bullish signal suggests that…

Different Market Sentiment Indicators

Different Market Sentiment Indicators Current market sentiment indicators reflect a neutral market environment, with bullish and bearish sentiments evenly balanced. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Sentiment Indicator – Investor Equity Positions

Sentiment Indicator – Investor Equity Positions Since the April 2025 market low, hedge funds have turned more bullish, while other investor categories remain cautious and have not meaningfully increased their market participation. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Average Percentile of Sentiment Indicators

Average Percentile of Sentiment Indicators While sentiment and positioning were highly bullish at the end of 2024, recent setbacks have emerged. The resurgence of “Trumponomics” has increased volatility, prompting investors to adopt more defensive strategies. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator

U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator With the year-end approaching, sentiment is overly stretched, implying that market participants might be excessively optimistic and overconfident in their bullish outlook. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Index Returns – The Day 100 Indicator

S&P 500 Index Returns – The Day 100 Indicator Historically, if the S&P 500 Index is up more than 10% YTD on day 100, it tends to be bullish through the rest of the year. Image: LPL Research

Sentiment Indicator – Current vs. Market Peak

Sentiment Indicator – Current vs. Market Peak Currently, this sentiment indicator is relatively bullish compared to the last ten years. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Sentiment Indicator

Sentiment Indicator Are investors be too bullish? Currently, the sentiment indicator is above average at 1.2 standard deviations. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

How Often Does a Correction Turn into a Bear Market?

How Often Does a Correction Turn into a Bear Market? Historically, a 10% correction rarely leads to a 20% bear market without economic downturns, earnings declines, or rate hikes. With no very serious adverse indicators currently, a bear market seems unlikely in the near term. Image: Carson Investment Research