U.S. Interest Rates Make the Dollar More Attractive The strong dollar is the result of higher U.S. interest rates and the fact that the U.S. economy is outperforming the world. But Fed rate cuts are coming. Picture source: Financial Times
U.S. Monthly Average 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Keep in mind that mortgage costs are influenced by the 10-year Treasury yield. 30-year mortgage rates = 1.739 x (10-year treasury yield)² + 0.7755 x (10-year treasury yield) + 0.0227 (R² = 0.9787) See also “30-Year Mortgage Rates vs. 10-Year Treasury Yield.” Picture source: Leonard Kiefer
Global PMI vs. G10 Central Banks Rates Cut When Global PMI is weak, as is currently the case, G10 central banks have always cut rates. Picture source: Nordea and Macrobond
The Secular Trend for U.S. Interest Rates This nice chart shows the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield against the natural rate (nominal R-Star) and monetary velocity. In a sense, it explains the secular trend for U.S. interest rates. Picture source: Fidelity Investments
$11 Trillion Bonds Globally Trade At Negative Interest Rates The total amount of negative interest rates climbed to USD 11 trillion. Investors are paying governments for the privilege of holding their bonds and are losing so much money in real terms. Picture source: Deutsche Bank
