Search Results for: rates

Gold Price and Forecast 5-Year Real Rates Goldman Sachs expects U.S. real rates to continue to fall, and raised its 12-month forecast on gold to $2000/toz. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Dollar – Real Effective Exchange Rates Based on Unit Labor Costs Chart suggesting that the U.S. dollar is overvalued relative to its G7 peers. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

5-Year TIPS Yield (U.S. Real Rates) vs. Gold Generally, when the U.S. 5-year TIPS yield goes down, gold goes up. Image: The Daily Shot – The Wall Street Journal

Interest Rates – Market-Implied Probability of Negative Policy Rate 1 Year Ahead Negative interest rates in the US and the UK ahead? Option markets point to elevated probabilities. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Expected Fed Funds Rate, Negative Interest Rates and 2-Year Treasury Yield Negative U.S. yields are in sight, as Fed funds futures for June 2021 imply an expected negative rate of -0.03%. Image: Fidelity Investments

Fed Funds Futures Curve (Interest Rates) For the first time, traders are starting to price in negative U.S. interest rates for first time. Image: The Daily Shot – The Wall Street Journal

U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield and Mortgages Rates U.S. treasury yields and mortgage rates aren’t following the usual pattern over the last 6 weeks (R² = 0.93). Image: Macrobond Financial

U.S. Unemployment Rates Forecast Goldman Sachs expects U3 unemployment rate to peak at 15%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Credit Spreads on High-Quality U.S. Corporates Credit spreads on high-quality U.S. corporates are widening and are flashing a warning sign for markets. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

Rates and Equity Volatility (VIX) This chart highlights the significant and sudden spike in rates and equity volatility at 2008/2009 levels. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research