Implied Probability of S&P 500 Drawdown
Implied Probability of S&P 500 Drawdown Drawdown risk for the S&P 500 has increased recently, amid rising yields, looming rate hikes, and weak market breadth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Implied Probability of S&P 500 Drawdown Drawdown risk for the S&P 500 has increased recently, amid rising yields, looming rate hikes, and weak market breadth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Drawdown from 52 Week High of Various Global Tech Sectors or Tech Sensitive Indices Global tech and the usual tech‑sensitive indices are trading well below their 52‑week highs. This is the kind of year that follows a crowded AI trade, when investors finally see the bill for all that optimism. Image: Deutsche Bank
Famous Market Bubbles: Peak-To-Trough Drawdowns Major market bubbles rarely fade quietly. Losses can be severe, and getting back to even can take years, sometimes decades, as leverage unwinds, valuations reset, and confidence takes a hit. Image: Real Investment Advice
Gold Drawdown from Its Trailing Previous Peak Gold has just suffered one of its steepest pullbacks in more than a decade. The drop looks less like the start of a lasting reversal and more like a classic flush after a prolonged rally. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
The Math of Drawdowns – Recovery Requied to Break Even After a Portfolio Decline Cut a portfolio in half and you need to double it to break even. That is not bad luck, it is simple compounding working against you. The bigger the loss, the tougher the climb back. Image: Real Investment Advice
After Narrow Market Leadership: Drawdowns in the Leading Sector Across decades, concentrated leadership has signaled fragile market health: when only a few sectors drive gains, weakening breadth tends to precede sharp declines. Image: Real Investment Advice
Probability of S&P 500 Drawdown / Rally The rally has made U.S. equities a tougher trade. Upside now looks constrained, while the risk of a pullback is growing amid stretched valuations and a weakening macro backdrop. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Drawdowns from 52-Week High and the First Two Years of a New Fed Chair’s Term Fed leadership changes don’t usually shake markets on their own. It’s the macro picture and prior positioning that set the tone. The shift only bites if it clashes with what markets were expecting in the first place. Image:…
S&P 500 Index Returns vs. Drawdowns in Midterm Election Years Midterm years often test Wall Street’s nerve. Since 1930, the S&P 500 has typically fallen around 20% on average at some point, but those pullbacks have often marked the start of strong buying opportunities. Image: Ned Davis Research
Bitcoin Drawdown Volatility persists, but Bitcoin’s drop of more than 40% from its October peak looks more like a typical correction than a structural breakdown. In most markets that would be a crash; for Bitcoin, it’s business as usual Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Index Average Intra-Year Drawdown During Midterm Elections Midterm years often shake confidence on Wall Street. The S&P 500 usually slides 18% on average at some point during the year, but those downturns tend to open the door to compelling buying opportunities. Image: Bloomberg