Implied Probability of S&P 500 Drawdown

Implied Probability of S&P 500 Drawdown Drawdown risk for the S&P 500 has increased recently, amid rising yields, looming rate hikes, and weak market breadth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Famous Market Bubbles: Peak-To-Trough Drawdowns

Famous Market Bubbles: Peak-To-Trough Drawdowns Major market bubbles rarely fade quietly. Losses can be severe, and getting back to even can take years, sometimes decades, as leverage unwinds, valuations reset, and confidence takes a hit. Image: Real Investment Advice

Gold Drawdown from Its Trailing Previous Peak

Gold Drawdown from Its Trailing Previous Peak Gold has just suffered one of its steepest pullbacks in more than a decade. The drop looks less like the start of a lasting reversal and more like a classic flush after a prolonged rally. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

After Narrow Market Leadership: Drawdowns in the Leading Sector

After Narrow Market Leadership: Drawdowns in the Leading Sector Across decades, concentrated leadership has signaled fragile market health: when only a few sectors drive gains, weakening breadth tends to precede sharp declines. Image: Real Investment Advice

Probability of S&P 500 Drawdown / Rally

Probability of S&P 500 Drawdown / Rally The rally has made U.S. equities a tougher trade. Upside now looks constrained, while the risk of a pullback is growing amid stretched valuations and a weakening macro backdrop. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Index Returns vs. Drawdowns in Midterm Election Years

S&P 500 Index Returns vs. Drawdowns in Midterm Election Years Midterm years often test Wall Street’s nerve. Since 1930, the S&P 500 has typically fallen around 20% on average at some point, but those pullbacks have often marked the start of strong buying opportunities. Image: Ned Davis Research

Bitcoin Drawdown

Bitcoin Drawdown Volatility persists, but Bitcoin’s drop of more than 40% from its October peak looks more like a typical correction than a structural breakdown. In most markets that would be a crash; for Bitcoin, it’s business as usual Image: Bloomberg

S&P 500 Index Average Intra-Year Drawdown During Midterm Elections

S&P 500 Index Average Intra-Year Drawdown During Midterm Elections Midterm years often shake confidence on Wall Street. The S&P 500 usually slides 18% on average at some point during the year, but those downturns tend to open the door to compelling buying opportunities. Image: Bloomberg