Cyclical/Defensive Equities Ratio and 10-Year Treasury Yield

Cyclical/Defensive Equities Ratio and 10-Year Treasury Yield The chart shows the correlation between the cyclical/defensive equities ratio and the 10-year treasury yield, signaling an economic slowdown. Picture source: Morgan Stanley Research

Citi Economic Surprise Index and S&P 500

Citi Economic Surprise Index and S&P 500 The Citi Economic Surprise Index has risen sharply, but it has an inconsistent history in terms of its correlation with the S&P 500. It is a cyclical indicator: high readings suggest favouring defensives over cyclicals, and low readings suggest favouring cyclicals over defensives. Picture source: Renaissance Macro

Gold vs. U.S. 10-Year Real Yield

Gold vs. U.S. 10-Year Real Yield The chart shows the nice correlation between the U.S. 10-year real yield (inverted) and the price of gold as a defensive asset Picture source: Saxo Bank

Gold vs. Real U.S. Rates

Gold vs. Real U.S. Rates The chart shows the nice correlation between real U.S. rates (inverted) and the price of gold as a defensive asset. Picture source: Richardson GMP