S&P 500 Around Predictable U.S. Presidential Elections

S&P 500 Around Predictable U.S. Presidential Elections History suggests that predictable elections are a non-event for the U.S. stock market. Deutsche Bank is bullish. The official S&P 500 2020 estimate is 3,250. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

ISM Manufacturing PMI and Nonfarm Payroll Growth vs. U.S. Election Outcome

ISM Manufacturing PMI and Nonfarm Payroll Growth vs. U.S. Election Outcome Chart showing the relationship between growth trends into U.S. elections and the margin of victory or defeat for incumbent candidates. Historically, the probability of incumbents winning an election increases, as growth trends improve. Image: Bessemer Trust

S&P 500 Return A Year Later Off The Midterm Election Lows

S&P 500 Return A Year Later Off The Midterm Election Lows A year after the midterm lows, the S&P 500 is up 32% on average. History also shows that the S&P 500 has been higher 17 out of the last 17 times, since 1950. Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC

S&P 500 and U.S. Election

S&P 500 and U.S. Election Chart showing a series of potential outcomes for the S&P 500 Index in the 2020 U.S. election. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

6-Month S&P 500 Return Following U.S. Election

6-Month S&P 500 Return Following U.S. Election Since 1932, the median 6-month S&P 500 return for an all Republican sweep has been 4% vs. 1% for an all Democratic sweep, and 3% for a divided government. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research