Prediction Market Probability that Democrats Have Control Following the 2020 U.S. Election The prediction market probability of the Democrats taking control of the Senate has increased to 32%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Election Blue Wave – Russell 2000 vs. Nasdaq 1000 Futures and U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield The blue wave trades collapsed after President Trump’s victory in Florida. Image: BofA Research Investment Committee
Health Care Stocks – Health Care Sector Excess Returns vs. S&P 500 Around U.S. Presidential Elections The health care sector tends to outperform after Election Day. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Equity Returns (2-Day from Election Day) Last week saw the largest two-day equity bounce after U.S. Election Day since 1900. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
FAAMG Stocks After the U.S. Election FAAMG stocks continue to do well in this market. Image: Financial Times
Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) and U.S. Presidential Elections Since 2000, the EUR/USD tends to rise after the U.S. presidential election. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
S&P 500 Performance in Election Weeks This week, the S&P 500 has rallied for four days in a row. Image: CNBC
Likely U.S. Election Scenarios and Macro Implications Is it time to say goodbye to a big fiscal stimulus package? Image: BofA Research Investment Committee
Percentage of Popular Vote and Electoral College Vote for Winning Candidate in U.S. Presidential Elections Since 1789 Winning the popular vote doesn’t ensure victory in the United States. Image: J.P. Morgan
Performance of the S&P 500 on the 10 Days Following U.S. Presidential Elections The S&P 500 has gained an average 1.7% on the 10 days following U.S. Presidential elections since 1944. Image: Statista