Average Monthly Volatility for U.S. Election Years Since 1928

Average Monthly Volatility for U.S. Election Years Since 1928 The historical pattern of the VIX rising before U.S. elections and then rapidly plunging afterward can be attributed to increased uncertainty and investor fear leading up to the elections. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

S&P 500 Performance After >20% Pre-Election Years

S&P 500 Performance After >20% Pre-Election Years Following a 20% gain in the pre-election year, the S&P 500 index has consistently shown positive growth during the election year, with an average increase in value of 11.3% since 1950. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 Performance During Election Years in the U.S.

S&P 500 Performance During Election Years The S&P 500 index typically experiences a slow start in the first quarter of an election year. However, as the year progresses, the market tends to regain momentum and deliver a solid performance. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 – Election Year Seasonality

S&P 500 – Election Year Seasonality During election years, the S&P 500 tends to trend sideways in Q1. Investors are typically cautious about the potential outcomes of the upcoming elections and tend to adopt a more conservative approach. Image: MarketDesk Research

Average S&P 500 Returns by Election Cycle Year

Average S&P 500 Returns by Election Cycle Year The dynamics and uncertainties of the electoral process often impact market performance in presidential election years, leading to a historical trend of weaker S&P 500 returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 First Year of a New President in Pre-Election Years

S&P 500 First Year of a New President in Pre-Election Years Typically, during pre-election years under a new President, the S&P 500 tends to experience a robust market rally as the election year approaches. Image: Carson Investment Research

Median Sector Returns in the Year Before U.S. Election Day

Median Sector Returns in the Year Before U.S. Election Day Given the historical trend of the tech sector underperforming the S&P 500 in the year preceding the U.S. election day, should investors consider underweighting their exposure to the tech sector in their portfolios? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research