S&P 500 Performance Leading to U.S. Election Date

S&P 500 Performance Leading to U.S. Election Date This table shows that over the last 20 election cycles in the U.S., there have been only two instances of market declines in the 12 months leading to the election results. Picture source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management

U.S. Election Years Volatility

U.S. Election Years Volatility U.S. election years are on average similarly volatile, but 2020 could be different. Picture source: BofA Merrill Lynch

S&P 500 and Pre-Election Year

S&P 500 and Pre-Election Year In pre-election years since 1950, the chart suggests that the U.S. stock market doesn’t bottom until Thanksgiving. Picture source: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC

U.S. Recession and Presidential Re-election

U.S. Recession and Presidential Re-election If there isn’t a recession ahead of the U.S. presidential re-election, presidents have won every time since the First World War. The spreadsheet also shows that five of the seven times there was a recession, the current U.S. President lost the re-election. You may also like “Unemployment and U.S. Presidential…

U.S. Yield Curve 18 Months Before Presidential Elections

U.S. Yield Curve 18 Months Before Presidential Elections 18 months before presidential elections, a flatter yield curve suggests a greater tendency to predict a change away from the incumbent President’s party Picture source: Deutsche Bank