Incumbent Presidential Election Years Since 22nd Amendment

Incumbent Presidential Election Years Since 22nd Amendment Incumbent presidential election years have traditionally been good for equities, with an average return of 11.4% since 22nd amendment. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

S&P 500 Around Close Presidential Elections

S&P 500 Around Close Presidential Elections History also suggests that predictable elections are a non-event for the U.S. stock market. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research

S&P 500 Around Predictable U.S. Presidential Elections

S&P 500 Around Predictable U.S. Presidential Elections History suggests that predictable elections are a non-event for the U.S. stock market. Deutsche Bank is bullish. The official S&P 500 2020 estimate is 3,250. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

ISM Manufacturing PMI and Nonfarm Payroll Growth vs. U.S. Election Outcome

ISM Manufacturing PMI and Nonfarm Payroll Growth vs. U.S. Election Outcome Chart showing the relationship between growth trends into U.S. elections and the margin of victory or defeat for incumbent candidates. Historically, the probability of incumbents winning an election increases, as growth trends improve. Image: Bessemer Trust

S&P 500 Return A Year Later Off The Midterm Election Lows

S&P 500 Return A Year Later Off The Midterm Election Lows A year after the midterm lows, the S&P 500 is up 32% on average. History also shows that the S&P 500 has been higher 17 out of the last 17 times, since 1950. Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC