Calendar Year Performance During U.S. Presidential Election Years Presidential election years have historically been good for U.S. equities, when an incumbent president winds up winning reelection. Image: BlackRock Investment Institute
Sector Performance in the 9 Months Prior to Past U.S. Presidential Elections This chart shows the sector median excess return vs. the S&P 500 during 9 months before 11 presidential elections since 1976. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Index Average Monthly Returns Since 1950 and Elections Years February has averaged zero during an US election year since 1950, but has the best month the past 10 years. Image: LPL Financial LLC
S&P 500 Monthly Returns During an U.S. Election Year Since 1950, February returns have averaged zero for the S&P 500 during an U.S. election year. Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC
U.S. Presidential Elections and the Stock Market The first two years of presidential terms tend to produce below-average returns, while the next 2 years tend to produce above-average returns. Image: Fidelity Investments
S&P 500 Performance When President Is Up For Reelection Since 1950, the S&P 500 has finished the year higher when a President has been up for reelection. Gains tend to occur in the second half of the year. Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC
Incumbent Presidential Election Years Since 22nd Amendment Incumbent presidential election years have traditionally been good for equities, with an average return of 11.4% since 22nd amendment. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Presidential Election Years and S&P 500 Index Average Cumulative Returns This chart suggests that since 1932, volatility during primaries can produce strong returns. Image: Capital Group
U.S. Election – Presidential Cycle and Average S&P 500 Return since 1872 Since 1872, the S&P500 index has averaged 6.2% during an election year, and 9.6% on average if a Republican wins. Image: Jefferies
Economic Policy Uncertainty During U.S. Presidential Election Years Chart suggesting that historically, economic policy uncertainty is higher in U.S. presidential election years, particularly uncertainty related to tax policy. Image: Deutsche Bank