Search Results for: election

Implied Probability of Vice President Biden Winning 2020 Presidential Election Is Joe Biden’s advantage underestimated? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Change in U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yields and S&P 500 Following 2016 Election Results Goldman Sachs expects U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to increase under unified Democratic control of government, reflecting the possibility of a substantial increase in government spending. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Elections – The U.S. Dollar Could Predict the Next President Historically, when the U.S. dollar has been weak, the incumbent party has tended to win. Image: LPL Financial LLC

S&P 500 Performance During Election Years in the U.S. Historically, the S&P 500 has bottomed the last week of October during an election year in the United States. Image: LPL Financial LLC

Market-Implied One-Day Move After U.S. Election Day The current expected move after Election Day is 2.8%, down from 3.2% in August. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Elections – Pre-election Equity Performance vs. Average Chart showing how the U.S. stock market has performed before and after presidential elections (“Closely contested” is defined as the margin of popular vote being below average). Image: Morgan Stanley Research

U.S. Election – Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden and the U.S. Economy Americans think that Donald Trump will be better for the U.S. economy if he is re-elected rather than if Joe Biden is elected. Image: BofA Global Research

U.S. Elections – Median S&P 500 12-Month Return Based on Control of U.S. Government As the chart suggests, a divided government is best for the U.S. stock market. Image: Goldman Sachs

S&P 500 Performance During U.S. Election Years Since 1950 The S&P 500 could start to weaken now, if President Donald Trump is going to lose the 2020 election. Image: LPL Financial LLC

Average Monthly Volatility for U.S. Election Years Since 1928 The U.S. presidential elections have some impact on stock market volatility. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy