Average Year for the S&P 500 During a Pre-Election Year Historically, the third quarter of pre-election years has been characterized by weakness in the performance of the S&P 500, while the fourth quarter has exhibited strength. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance 1-Year After Midterm Elections Historically, the S&P 500 Index has been higher a year later every time after midterm elections in November. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Average Monthly Performance and How Often Each Month Is Higher in Pre-Election Years Historically, April has been a strong month for U.S. stocks in pre-election years. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 – Seasonality During Bull vs. Bear Markets – 3rd Year of U.S. Election Cycle Only Both bulls and bears may be frustrated this year. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 – Seasonality During Bull vs. Bear Markets (Midterm Election Years Only) Historically, the Santa Claus rally tends to occur only in bull markets during midterm election years. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 Returns During Midterm Election Years Historically, the S&P 500 tends to outperform in the 12 months following midterm elections. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
The Performance of the S&P 500 Before and After Midterm Elections Since World War II, the S&P 500 has been higher a year after midterm elections everytime. Image: Deutsche Bank
Average S&P 500 Realized Volatility for Midterm and Non-Election Years Historically, S&P 500 volatility tends to moderate after October. Image: J.P. Morgan
Seasonality – Average S&P 500 Level for Midterm and Non-Election Years Historically, September has been challenging for the S&P 500 in midterm election years. Image: J.P. Morgan
S&P 500 Index Performance During Midterm Election Years Historically, the S&P 500 Index performs poorly during the first 9 months of midterm election years. Should investors expect a year-end rally? Image: Carson Investment Research