NBER Recession Dating vs. Market Realization Chart showing the monthly lag between the economic peak and the NBER announcement. NBER announcements don’t really help investors. Image: Real Investment Advice
U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. It is a contrarian indicator. A bullish signal suggests that the U.S. stock market may go up, while a bearish signal…
Different Market Sentiment Indicators Most market sentiment indicators remain risk-off. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index Sentiment is still bearish. Equity investors remain far from greedy. Image: Real Investment Advice
Cumulative Returns Around Bear Market Bottoms Is the bear market bottom for the S&P 500 around 3,000? Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research
U.S. Market Cycle Indicators Will the % of market cycle indicators be less than 30% in the next 12 months? Image: Richardson Wealth
Valuation – Trailing Price to Earnings Ratio at Prior Bear Market Bottoms The trailing price to earnings ratio on the S&P 500 could fall further. Image: Strategas Asset Management
FMS Financial Market Stability Risks Index vs. S&P 500 Could the S&P 500 Index fall further? Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey
MBA U.S. Mortgage Market Index U.S. mortgage demand is falling as interest rates rise. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Short Interest as % of Market Capitalization S&P 500 Median Median S&P 500 short interest is rising but remains low at 1.6%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research