Market – Themes for the 2010s vs 2020s It is crucial to recognize the potential for a fundamental regime change, which could have far-reaching implications for investment strategies and decision-making processes. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. It is a contrarian indicator. A bullish signal suggests that the U.S. stock market may go up, while a bearish signal…
Different Market Sentiment Indicators Some market sentiment indicators remain risk-on, reflecting a positive outlook among investors. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Secular Bull Market – S&P 500 Weekly Chart with the 40-Week MA and 200-Week MA Will the current support level hold for the S&P 500? Image: BofA Global Research
Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index The Market Greed/Fear Index stands at 53.75. This indicates a level of rationality in the U.S. stock market, which can be seen as a positive sign. Image: Real Investment Advice
Market Pricing of Fed Rate Cuts The market pricing of the Fed rate cuts for 2024 has declined substancially. Image: BofA Global Research
Top Five Companies % of S&P 500 Market Capitalization The concentration of the S&P 500 in the five largest stocks remains higher than it was during the dot-com bubble, which is seen as a potential risk, as it can lead to increased market volatility and a lack of diversification. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant…
Market Sentiment Indicator Morgan Stanley’s market sentiment indicator is neutral. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Money Market Flows Inflows to money market funds remain very strong, as interest rates have risen. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Market-Implied Probability of a Recession Starting Within 1 Year and Market-Implied Probability of Being in a Recession Market-based indicators have priced in a lower probability of a U.S. recession in the next one year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research