U.S. Equity Bear Markets and Recessions

U.S. Equity Bear Markets and Recessions In recent history, equity bear markets tend to occur six months before a recession, and when no one is looking for them. Image: BCA Research

GS Bear Market Risk Indicator

GS Bear Market Risk Indicator The GS Bear Market Risk Indicator points to fading risk, but the current level is still high anf suggests low returns. A grey line shows a bear market and/or a recession. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

NBER Recession Dating vs. Market Realization

NBER Recession Dating vs. Market Realization Chart showing the monthly lag between the economic peak and the NBER announcement. NBER announcements don’t really help investors. Image: Real Investment Advice

U.S. Bond Market

U.S. Bond Market Based on GDP and the forward curve, the U.S. 10-year seems less expensive right now, and may perhaps climb higher. Image: Fidelity Investments