Keyword: market

Bear Market Risk Indicator and MSCI World Subsequent 5-Year Total Return The Bear Market Risk Indicator suggests a low single digit returns for global equities during next 5 years. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Cumulative Market Cap Growth vs. Cumulative Executed U.S. Buybacks Through the current cycle, U.S. buybacks have returned about $5.5 trillion to shareholders. Image: J.P. Morgan US Equity Strategy & Global Quantitative Research

U.S. Equity Bear Markets and Recessions In recent history, equity bear markets tend to occur six months before a recession, and when no one is looking for them. Image: BCA Research

Outperformance of the Biggest 10% Companies vs. Rest of the Market Chart showing that the biggest 10% of companies have significantly outperformed the rest of the market. Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research

GS Bear Market Risk Indicator The GS Bear Market Risk Indicator points to fading risk, but the current level is still high anf suggests low returns. A grey line shows a bear market and/or a recession. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

NBER Recession Dating vs. Market Realization Chart showing the monthly lag between the economic peak and the NBER announcement. NBER announcements don’t really help investors. Image: Real Investment Advice

U.S. Bond Market Based on GDP and the forward curve, the U.S. 10-year seems less expensive right now, and may perhaps climb higher. Image: Fidelity Investments

How Has the Value of the Stock Market Changed since the Beginning of the Year? This chart suggests that most Americans are not aware of market movements. Only 40% of respondents reported that the value of the stock market has increased this year. Image: Financial Times

S&P 500 Buybacks as a Percentage of Market Capitalization Deutsche Bank expects 10% returns for the S&P 500 in 2020, and buybacks to slow to $625bn. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation