Seasonality – S&P 500 Index Average Monthly Returns December usually puts Wall Street in a festive mood. The reason? The Santa Claus rally typically shows up, with U.S. stocks averaging a 1.4% gain since 1950 and ending higher roughly 73% of the time. Image: Carson Investment Research
Seasonality – Monthly Return Stats for the S&P 500 Why do U.S. stocks shine in December? Historically, it’s when the Santa Claus rally shows up, delivering an average 1.2% gain since 1964 and finishing higher 70% of the time. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 Average Monthly Return Above and Below 200-Day Moving Average Historically, the S&P 500 has performed well in April, averaging gains of over 2% since 1950 when starting below its 200-day moving average. Image: Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. and Bloomberg
Seasonality – S&P 500 Monthly Returns The performance of the U.S. stock market in January is often considered as a key indicator for the year ahead. Although January’s stock returns can seem erratic, the median return has been around 1.5% since 1950. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Monthly Returns and Percentage of Time Up – Presidential Cycle Year 4 Seasonality provides valuable insights into stock market trends. Historically, after experiencing weaknesses in September and October during election years, the S&P 500 tends to rebound with strong returns in November and December. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Monthly Returns During an U.S. Election Year The S&P 500 has historically performed well in August during presidential election years, contributing to an overall positive market sentiment and potentially extending the summer rally. Image: Carson Investment Research
Seasonality – Nasdaq Monthly Returns Seasonality is very useful for assessing probabilities, not certainties. This is one factor that can impact the Nasdaq price. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Average Median and Positive Hit Rate of Monthly Returns Based on Credit/Fed Cycles Fed easing and credit tightening regime does not bode well for U.S. equities. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
10-Year Annualized Monthly Returns From Tech Should investors face the harsh reality of lower tech returns? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Russell 2000 vs. S&P 500 – Annualized Average Monthly Return Small cap stocks tend to underperfom the S&P 500 when growth slows. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Monthly Returns Since 1985 More gains to come in Q4? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research