2 Year Calendarized S&P 500 Performance Starting in January With a remarkable increase over the last two years, the S&P 500 illustrates a robust recovery and renewed investor confidence, delighting market bulls. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Intra-Year Declines vs. Calendar Year Returns The S&P 500’s performance in 2024 reflects strong investor sentiment and a favorable economic backdrop, positioning it well for potential future growth despite looming uncertainties regarding inflation and geopolitical risks. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
S&P 500 Index Max Pullback per Calendar Year Bulls should stay vigilant, as the S&P 500’s 8.5% peak-to-trough pullback this year is well below the historical average of 14.2% annual corrections since 1980, raising concerns about potential corrections in 2025. Image: Carson Investment Research
Largest Calendar Year Peak to Trough S&P 500 Drawdown While the S&P 500 has experienced significant drawdowns in the past, the drawdown in 2024 has been smaller than the median. Goldman Sachs maintains its S&P 500 index target of 5,600 for year-end 2024. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Next Calendar Year EPS Revision – August Through December Should investors expect further earnings revisions in the coming months? Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Number of S&P 500 All-Time Highs per Calendar Year Will the S&P 500 see new all-time highs for the rest of the year? Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Equities – Maximum Drawdown Per Calendar Year Should investors expect a bigger drawdown at some point in 2021? Image: True Insights
Historical Odds of U.S. Stock Market Rising in Second Half of Calendar Year Is there a good chance that the U.S. stock market will be higher at the end of this year? Image: Marketwatch
Distribution of S&P 500 Calendar Year Returns Goldman Sachs forecasts S&P 500 will climb by 16% to 4,300 by the end of 2021. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Seasonality – Average of S&P 500 Return Per Calendar Month Historically, August and September have been challenging for the S&P 500. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Calendar Year Performance During U.S. Presidential Election Years Presidential election years have historically been good for U.S. equities, when an incumbent president winds up winning reelection. Image: BlackRock Investment Institute