GS U.S. Financial Conditions Index Financial conditions tightening continues to pose a significant challenge, as evidenced by various factors such as the strengthening of the U.S. dollar and the surge in U.S. bond yields. Image: The Daily Shot
Financial Conditions and U.S. Recessions When financial conditions become tight or restrictive, it is typically followed by an economic downturn. Image: Real Investment Advice
10-Year U.S. Treasury Real Rate vs. U.S. Financial Conditions Index The recent rise in U.S. real rates does pose a risk for the U.S. equity market. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
U.S. True Financial Conditions Index The U.S. True Financial Conditions Index remains tight. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
S&P 500 Index vs. Financial Conditions Index Should investors forget Goldilocks, as it’s all about financial conditions? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Impulse to Quarterly Annualized GDP Growth from Fiscal Policy and Financial Conditions Is a soft landing possible in 2023? The drag on U.S. GDP from monetary and fiscal policy tightening is expected to fade next year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Bloomberg U.S. Financial Conditions Index Looser financial conditions will make it harder for the Fed to bring inflation back to 2%. Image: The Daily Shot
S&P 500 vs. Financial Conditions U.S. financial conditions have eased meaningfully, coinciding with rising U.S. stock prices. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Recession – U.S. Real GDP and Financial Conditions Index (Leading Indicator) Financial conditions tend to lead U.S. real GDP by 3 months. Image: Alpine Macro
U.S. GS Financial Conditions Index vs. Current Activity Index The tightening in financial conditions does not bode well for activity. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research