Leon Cooperman: Bull Market Cycles Don’t End at Fair Valuation, They Ended at Overvaluation “There is still more room for the market to run. We have a slowdown but not a recession and the market is ok.” Leon Cooperman (Omega Advisors founder) is a great value investor. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xz6ihkuW1AM
Small Caps Valuation – Russell 2000 “Fair Value” Is the massive outperformance of small caps coming to an end? Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Valuation – U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield vs. Fair Value Chart suggesting that U.S. 10-year Treasuries are extremely overvalued. Image: BCA Research
Valuation – S&P 500 Real Value Index Since 1871, the S&P 500 real total returns, dividends reinvested, have averaged 6.9% a year. The U.S. Real Value Index has always mean-reverted — and right now, it is between 10% and 20% above fair value. Image: TS Lombard
Valuation – S&P 500 Forward P/E Multiple Despite stretched valuations by historical standards, the S&P 500 is trading near fair value, and earnings growth is set to underpin further upside as the economy gains momentum into next year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation – S&P 500 Company Actual vs. Modeled FY2 P/E Ratio Valuations for the Magnificent Seven now sit slightly below modeled fair value, especially in light of their robust fundamentals and earnings growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation – S&P 500 Based on Rule of 20 According to the historically reliable “Rule of 20,” the market is fairly valued when the P/E ratio plus the inflation rate equals 20. By this measure, the S&P 500’s fair value is about 4,600 today. Image: Bloomberg
Valuation – Equal-Weight S&P 500 P/E Multiple According to Goldman Sachs, the equal-weight S&P 500 P/E multiple is currently 13% above fair value. This suggests that stocks in the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index may be relatively more expensive compared to their earnings potential. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Valuation and Inflation This chart suggests that the S&P 500 is fairly valued based on current inflation. Image: Truist
https://www.isabelnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/stock-market-valuation.mp4 This powerful model looks into the US stock market and alerts if it is overvalued or undervalued The model shows the valuation percentage to the right and to the left. In the middle, it shows what the probability of each event happening is. Probability is a way to show how often an event will…
Europe’s Stocks Are Really Unloved Europe’s benchmark has lagged other major ones in recent years. But on the positive side: the valuation is low, Europe will not disintegrate, the rotation from bonds to equities has not yet begun, and there is a fairly good growth in 2019. Image: Bloomberg