Debt-to-GDP and 10-Year Government Bond Yield

Debt-to-GDP and 10-Year Government Bond Yield While it might seem intuitive that higher debt burdens would lead to higher yields due to increased risk, this relationship has not held true in practice. Yields are influenced by multiple economic factors, not just debt levels. Image: BCA Research

China – Nominal GDP Growth vs. 10-Year Government Bond Yield

China – Nominal GDP Growth vs. 10-Year Government Bond Yield The persistent drop in bond yields is often seen as a sign of increasing investor caution regarding economic growth, which does not bode well for China’s nominal GDP growth moving forward. Image: Alpine Macro

U.S. Bond Yields

U.S. Bond Yields The era of ultra-low interest rates that followed the 2008 financial crisis should be seen as a historical anomaly. It is unlikely that U.S. bond yields will return to their post-crisis lows. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

U.S. CPI Inflation vs. U.S. 10-Year Bond Yield

U.S. CPI Inflation vs. U.S. 10-Year Bond Yield CPI dynamics in early 2024 show a clear pattern: Q1’s higher inflation prompted increased Fed scrutiny, while Q2’s declines suggest potential interest rate cuts, impacting market expectations and U.S. Treasury yields on CPI days. Image: BofA Global Research

Germany 2-Year Government Bond Yield

Germany 2-Year Government Bond Yield The German 2-year government bond yield, considered to be the most sensitive to European Central Bank (ECB) policy rate expectations, continues to rise. Image: The Daily Shot

Germany 2-Year Government Bond Yield

Germany 2-Year Government Bond Yield The German 2-year government bond yield, considered to be the most sensitive to European Central Bank (ECB) policy rate expectations, hit a 14-year high. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

U.S. 2-Year Government Bond Yield

U.S. 2-Year Government Bond Yield The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield is rising as U.S. inflation may be more persistent than expected, which remains a headwind for U.S. stocks. Image: The Daily Shot