Correlation Between S&P 500 and U.S. Treasuries
Correlation Between S&P 500 and U.S. Treasuries This chart shows the correlation between stocks and bonds, which could affect a balanced 60/40 portfolio. Picture source: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
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91.2% Correlation Between Gold Price and U.S. National Debt
91.2% Correlation Between Gold Price and U.S. National Debt According to the National Inflation Association, there’s 91.2% correlation between gold price and U.S. national debt. The U.S. government’s public debt is now more than $22 trillion. Over the long term, the price of gold could continue to rise as debt increases. Picture source: U.S. Global…
99% Correlation with the US Stock Market and an R² of 0.97 since 1970
99% Correlation with the US Stock Market and an R² of 0.97 since 1970 Our forecasting models have a fantastic 99% correlation with the US stock market on a quarterly basis since 1970 and an R² of 0.97. It means that 97 percent of the US stock market variance is predictable by the flows of data…
S&P 500 Index vs. Global M1 Liquidity
S&P 500 Index vs. Global M1 Liquidity Another good correlation between the S&P 500 Index and global M1 liquidity, while the Fed plans to stop quantitative tightening. The money supply M1 is the amount of effective money in the economy. Picture source: Nordea and Macrobond
Global PMI vs. Global GDP
Global PMI vs. Global GDP The chart shows the strong correlation between global PMI and global GDP. Global PMI slides to lowest since 2016 and global GDP may have difficulty growing at a rate above 2% very soon. Picture source: IHS Markit
S&P 500 Gains Outside Regular Trading Hours
07/15/2019
Global Debt Nears Record
07/15/2019
First Fed Rate Cut
07/15/2019
S&P 500 Around the End of Fed Tightening
07/15/2019
Probability of a Fed Cut in 2019
06/11/2019
Most CFOs Expect A Recession Next Year
06/13/2019
CEO Confidence & Business Confidence
06/14/2019