Search Results for: president

Implied Probability of Vice President Biden Winning 2020 Presidential Election Is Joe Biden’s advantage underestimated? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Elections – The U.S. Dollar Could Predict the Next President Historically, when the U.S. dollar has been weak, the incumbent party has tended to win. Image: LPL Financial LLC

Average Relative Sector Performance During Republican vs. Democratic Presidents Tech has tended to outperform on average under a Democratic president. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

S&P 500 Monthly Returns and Percentage of Time Up – Presidential Cycle Year 4 After a summer rally, this chart shows how the U.S. presidential election may affect the S&P 500. Image: BofA Global Research

Health Care Sector Excess Returns vs. S&P 500 Around U.S. Presidential Elections The health care sector typically lags ahead of U.S. presidential elections, due to uncertainty about future government policy. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Average Performance – Presidential Election Years & Incumbent Party Outcome 1936-2016 The S&P 500 has been a great indicator in the three months prior to the U.S. presidential election. Historically, the S&P 500’s performance has been 87% accurate in predicting the winner of the election. When the S&P 500’s performance was positive, the…

Average S&P 500 Price Performance – U.S. Presidential Election Results The S&P 500 has been a great indicator in the three months prior to the U.S. presidential election. Image: Strategas Research Partners

U.S. Elections – Dow Jones vs. Presidential Political Party Republicans vs. Democrats: this chart shows that Dow Jones returns have been much better when a Democrat held the presidency. Image: Ned Davis Research

U.S. Election – Nasdaq vs. Probability of Democratic Presidential Win in 2020 Has the market already priced in a democratic victory in November? Image: Variant Perception Research

S&P 500 3-Month Seasonal Returns and Presidential Cycle Year 4 Historically, election year shines in June-August, as it is the strongest 3-month period of presidential cycle year 4 (up 74% of the time with an average return of 6.93%). Image: BofA Global Research