S&P 500 6-Month Seasonal Returns and Percentage of Time Up – Presidential Cycle Year 1 into Presidential Cycle Year 2 From Presidential cycle year 1 into Presidential cycle year 2, the S&P 500 historically has the lowest 6-month return from August through January. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 3-Month Seasonality Returns and Percentage of Time Up – Presidential Cycle Year 1 S&P 500 seasonality is more bearish in Presidential cycle year 1, from late summer into the fall. Image: BofA Global Research
Monthly S&P 500 Seasonality for Presidential Cycle Year 1 S&P 500 seasonality shows that August has been challenging in Presidential cycle year 1. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Returns from Election of New President in November to 100 Days After the Inauguration President Joe Biden’s 100-day stock market performance is the strongest in at least 75 years. Image: J.P. Morgan
Performance – S&P 500 Through First 50 Trading Days of Presidents’ First Term Joe Biden outperformed Donald Trump in terms of S&P 500 performance. Image: Axios
S&P 500 Index Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle Historically, during a post-election year, S&P 500 returns tend to be positive in Q2. Image: LPL Financial LLC
Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) After U.S. Presidential Inaugurations In recent history, the EUR/USD tends to drop on average after U.S. Presidential inaugurations. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
Number of Executive Orders Issued by President Annually President Biden has signed executive orders at a record pace. Image: J.P. Morgan
S&P 500 Performance When a New President is in Office After the presidential inauguration in the U.S., market weakness is expected in February. Image: LPL Financial LLC
U.S. Dollar and Presidential Inaugurations After U.S. presidential inaugurations, the U.S. dollar tends to rise on average. Image: Nordea and Macrobond