The U.S. Presidential Cycle

The U.S. Presidential Cycle How U.S. presidential elections affect stock market returns? This chart shows the forward return for the U.S. stock market based on election outcomes. Image: Fidelity Investments

U.S. Presidential Elections and the Stock Market

U.S. Presidential Elections and the Stock Market The first two years of presidential terms tend to produce below-average returns, while the next 2 years tend to produce above-average returns. Image: Fidelity Investments

U.S. Presidential Cycle

U.S. Presidential Cycle During secular bull markets, the first term Presidential cycle suggests the S&P 500 Index at 3,740 into year-end. Image: BofA Global Research

S&P 500 Performance When President Is Up For Reelection

S&P 500 Performance When President Is Up For Reelection Historically, the S&P 500 has finished the year higher when a President has been up for reelection. Gains tend to occur in the second half of the year. Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC

Incumbent Presidential Election Years Since 22nd Amendment

Incumbent Presidential Election Years Since 22nd Amendment Incumbent presidential election years have traditionally been good for equities, with an average return of 11.4% since 22nd amendment. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

S&P 500 Around Close Presidential Elections

S&P 500 Around Close Presidential Elections History also suggests that predictable elections are a non-event for the U.S. stock market. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research