Keyword: president

The U.S. Presidential Cycle How U.S. presidential elections affect stock market returns? This chart shows the forward return for the U.S. stock market based on election outcomes. Image: Fidelity Investments

U.S. Presidential Elections and the Stock Market The first two years of presidential terms tend to produce below-average returns, while the next 2 years tend to produce above-average returns. Image: Fidelity Investments

S&P 500 Index Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle Historically, during a presidential election year, each quarter has seen a positive return on average. Image: LPL Financial LLC

U.S. Presidential Cycle During secular bull markets, the first term Presidential cycle suggests the S&P 500 Index at 3,740 into year-end. Image: BofA Global Research

S&P 500 Performance When President Is Up For Reelection Historically, the S&P 500 has finished the year higher when a President has been up for reelection. Gains tend to occur in the second half of the year. Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC

Incumbent Presidential Election Years Since 22nd Amendment Incumbent presidential election years have traditionally been good for equities, with an average return of 11.4% since 22nd amendment. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

Presidential Election Years and S&P 500 Index Average Cumulative Returns This chart suggests that since 1932, volatility during primaries can produce strong returns. Image: Capital Group

U.S. Election – Presidential Cycle and Average S&P 500 Return since 1872 Since 1872, the S&P500 index has averaged 6.2% during an election year, and 9.6% on average if a Republican wins. Image: Jefferies

Economic Policy Uncertainty During U.S. Presidential Election Years Chart suggesting that historically, economic policy uncertainty is higher in U.S. presidential election years, particularly uncertainty related to tax policy. Image: Deutsche Bank

S&P 500 Around Close Presidential Elections History also suggests that predictable elections are a non-event for the U.S. stock market. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research