Health Care Sector Excess Returns vs. S&P 500 Around U.S. Presidential Elections The health care sector typically lags ahead of U.S. presidential elections, due to uncertainty about future government policy. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Elections – Dow Jones vs. Presidential Political Party Republicans vs. Democrats: this chart shows that Dow Jones returns have been much better when a Democrat held the presidency. Image: Ned Davis Research
U.S. Election – Nasdaq vs. Probability of Democratic Presidential Win in 2020 Has the market already priced in a democratic victory in November? Image: Variant Perception Research
S&P 500 3-Month Seasonal Returns and Presidential Cycle Year 4 Historically, election year shines in June-August, as it is the strongest 3-month period of presidential cycle year 4 (up 74% of the time with an average return of 6.93%). Image: BofA Global Research
Age of U.S. President and Major Candidates for the 2020 Democratic Nomination at the Time of Inauguration How old is too old to be president in the United States? Image: Statista
U.S. Dollar and President Trump This chart shows the correlation between the U.S. dollar and President Trump’s approval ratings Image: TD securities
Odds of Winning U.S. Presidential Election Here’s a look at the current betting odds for Donald Trump, Michael Bloomberg and Bernie Sanders. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Dow Jones Performance Under Various U.S. Presidents This chart puts into perspective the Dow Jones performance under various U.S. presidents. The annualized return under President Trump is high, given tightening monetary policy. Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC
Calendar Year Performance During U.S. Presidential Election Years Presidential election years have historically been good for U.S. equities, when an incumbent president winds up winning reelection. Image: BlackRock Investment Institute
Sector Performance in the 9 Months Prior to Past U.S. Presidential Elections This chart shows the sector median excess return vs. the S&P 500 during 9 months before 11 presidential elections since 1976. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research