S&P 500 Performance per Year of a 4-Year Presidential Cycle On average, historical data shows that the fourth year of a new president’s term tends to exhibit strong performance in U.S. stocks, which can be regarded as positive news for investors. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 – Monthly Seasonality for Year 3 of the Presidential Cycle In the U.S. presidential cycle’s third year, October usually shows positive performance for the S&P 500 index, offering insights for investors and traders in evaluating market conditions and making investment decisions. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Index Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle Historically, the S&P 500 has shown a pattern of weakness during the third quarter of pre-election years, while the fourth quarter has typically been strong. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Presidential Cycle Will the S&P 500 reach a new all-time high in 2024? Image: BofA Global Research
Returns a Year Off the Lows for the S&P 500 Index Based on the 4-Year Presidential Cycle Historically, U.S. stocks have shown an average increase of 32.3% a year after a midterm year low. Image: Carson Investment Research
U.S. Presidential Approval Rating vs. Unemployment Rate Despite the low unemployment rate, high inflation weighs on President Biden’s approval rating. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
How Many Times Each President Increased the Debt Ceiling? The U.S. debt ceiling has been raised 89 times since 1959. Is this time any different? Image: Carson Investment Research
The Presidential Cycle and Average Total Return of the S&P 500 Should investors expect the S&P 500 to rise after midterm elections, despite macro headwinds? Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Price Returns by Year of Presidential Cycle Historically, U.S. stocks tend to outperform in the 12 months following midterm elections. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Monthly Seasonality – Presidential Cycle Year 2 Will November be a good month for U.S. stocks? Image: BofA Global Research