Global Monetary Policy Map

Global Monetary Policy Map This chart shows that in 2019, central banks cut rates by most in a decade. Image: Topdown Charts

G4 Central Banks Monetary Policy Rate

G4 Central Banks Monetary Policy Rate If the trend in G4 central banks monetary policy rates continues, this chart suggests that we could see -4% in 2030. Image: Nordea and Macrobond

U.S. Monetary Policy and Recession

U.S. Monetary Policy and Recession This chart shows the U.S. monetary policy and two recession forecasting models over time (Fed policy rate, Atlanta Fed shadow Fed funds rate, nominal R-Star, Fed funds curve). Image: Fidelity Investments

A Hall of Mirrors in Monetary Policy?

A Hall of Mirrors in Monetary Policy? This chart suggests a feedback loop between bond market pricing and central bank decisions. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Wage Growth, Monetary Policy and S&P 500

Wage Growth, Monetary Policy and S&P 500 When the spread between wage growth and the Fed funds rate is wide, it is generally positive for equities. Image: Topdown Charts

Fed Monetary Policy Rate Change over 6 Months Prices in (Futures) vs. Actual

Fed Monetary Policy Rate Change over 6 Months Prices in (Futures) vs. Actual Actually, the Fed decides when to raise rates, but the market decides when to cut rates. This chart shows that rate expectations are highly predictive six months in advance. You may also like “Markets Have Accurately Priced in Cuts before Easing Cycles…

U.S. Business Cycle: Actual vs. Potential U.S. Real GDP

U.S. Business Cycle: Actual vs. Potential U.S. Real GDP The mature phase of the U.S. business cycle began 2 years ago. If inflation remains stable and the Fed avoids restrictive monetary policy, then the risk of recession is reduced. Image: NBF Economics and Strategy

Zombie Companies in Europe

Zombie Companies in Europe After years of unprecedentedly easy monetary policy, zombie companies in Europe are back on the rise. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research

Central Banks Balance Sheet

Central Banks Balance Sheet Despite years of monetary policy easing, central banks are still missing their inflation goals. Image: Financial Times