G4 Central Banks Monetary Policy Rate

G4 Central Banks Monetary Policy Rate If the trend in G4 central banks monetary policy rates continues, this chart suggests that we could see -4% in 2030. Image: Nordea and Macrobond

U.S. Monetary Policy and Recession

U.S. Monetary Policy and Recession This chart shows the U.S. monetary policy and two recession forecasting models over time (Fed policy rate, Atlanta Fed shadow Fed funds rate, nominal R-Star, Fed funds curve). Image: Fidelity Investments

A Hall of Mirrors in Monetary Policy?

A Hall of Mirrors in Monetary Policy? This chart suggests a feedback loop between bond market pricing and central bank decisions. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Wage Growth, Monetary Policy and S&P 500

Wage Growth, Monetary Policy and S&P 500 When the spread between wage growth and the Fed funds rate is wide, it is generally positive for equities. Image: Topdown Charts

Fed Monetary Policy Rate Change over 6 Months Prices in (Futures) vs. Actual

Fed Monetary Policy Rate Change over 6 Months Prices in (Futures) vs. Actual Actually, the Fed decides when to raise rates, but the market decides when to cut rates. This chart shows that rate expectations are highly predictive six months in advance. You may also like “Markets Have Accurately Priced in Cuts before Easing Cycles…

Emerging Markets Monetary and Fiscal Policy

Emerging Markets Monetary and Fiscal Policy This chart puts monetary and fiscal policy in emerging markets into perspective (now to end 2020). Image: Capital Economics

Central Banks – Market Risk Trend and Economic Policy Trend

Central Banks – Market Risk Trend and Economic Policy Trend Chart suggesting that risk assets’ sensitivity to political risks has been neutralized by central banks’ QE and dovish monetary policy stance. Image: Image: BofA Global Research

U.S. Inflation vs. Fed Funds and S&P 500

U.S. Inflation vs. Fed Funds and S&P 500 Historically, the combination of high inflation with Fed tightening monetary policy does not bode well for the S&P 500. Image: Real Investment Advice