S&P 500 Monthly Returns and Percentage of Time Up – Presidential Cycle Year 4

S&P 500 Monthly Returns and Percentage of Time Up – Presidential Cycle Year 4 Seasonality is a valuable tool for evaluating probabilities within the stock market, rather than a crystal ball. Considering the fourth year of the presidential cycle, can investors expect April to be a favorable month for U.S. stocks? Image: BofA Global Research

S&P 500 Returns – The 4-Year Presidential Cycle

S&P 500 Returns – The 4-Year Presidential Cycle The current presidential cycle for the S&P 500 is extended when compared to both the average and first term cycles, highlighting the market’s unique dynamics and complexity. Image: BofA Global Research

S&P 500 Presidential Cycle

S&P 500 Presidential Cycle Considering the substantial cyclical correction in 2022, the current presidential cycle suggests that there is potential for the S&P 500 to perform well in 2024. Image: BofA Global Research

U.S. Presidential Approval Rating vs. Unemployment Rate

U.S. Presidential Approval Rating vs. Unemployment Rate Despite the robust labor market and economic growth, President Biden’s approval rating has declined due to public unease over high inflation. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

S&P 500 Index Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle

S&P 500 Index Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle The first quarter of an election year often exhibits a sluggish performance for the S&P 500 index, but as the year progresses, the market tends to regain strength, ultimately delivering a solid performance. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 – Monthly Seasonality for Year 3 of the Presidential Cycle

S&P 500 – Monthly Seasonality for Year 3 of the Presidential Cycle Investors and traders can gain valuable insights from historical trends. In the third year of the presidential cycle, December has historically been a strong month for U.S. stocks. Image: BofA Global Research

S&P 500 Price Returns by Year of Presidential Cycle

S&P 500 Price Returns by Year of Presidential Cycle While the fourth year of the presidential cycle has historically been favorable for the U.S. stock market, it tends to have lower returns compared to the third year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Performance per Year of a 4-Year Presidential Cycle

S&P 500 Performance per Year of a 4-Year Presidential Cycle Based on historical data, it is generally observed that the fourth year of a new president’s term typically shows robust performance in U.S. stocks, which can be seen as encouraging for investors. Image: Carson Investment Research