S&P 500 – Monthly Seasonality for Year 3 of the Presidential Cycle Investors and traders can gain valuable insights from historical trends. In the third year of the presidential cycle, December has historically been a strong month for U.S. stocks. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Price Returns by Year of Presidential Cycle While the fourth year of the presidential cycle has historically been favorable for the U.S. stock market, it tends to have lower returns compared to the third year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Monthly Returns and Percentage of Time Up – Presidential Cycle Year 4 Historically, the month of January stands out as the sole month to exhibit a negative median return in the Presidential Election year. Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Presidential Approval Rating vs. Unemployment Rate High inflation is a significant factor weighing on President Biden’s approval rating, despite the low unemployment rate. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
S&P 500 Performance per Year of a 4-Year Presidential Cycle Based on historical data, it is generally observed that the fourth year of a new president’s term typically shows robust performance in U.S. stocks, which can be seen as encouraging for investors. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Index Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle Historically, the S&P 500 has shown a pattern of weakness during the third quarter of pre-election years, while the fourth quarter has typically been strong. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Presidential Cycle Will the S&P 500 reach a new all-time high in 2024? Image: BofA Global Research
Returns a Year Off the Lows for the S&P 500 Index Based on the 4-Year Presidential Cycle Historically, U.S. stocks have shown an average increase of 32.3% a year after a midterm year low. Image: Carson Investment Research
The Presidential Cycle and Average Total Return of the S&P 500 Should investors expect the S&P 500 to rise after midterm elections, despite macro headwinds? Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Monthly Seasonality – Presidential Cycle Year 2 Will November be a good month for U.S. stocks? Image: BofA Global Research