Incumbent Presidential Election Years Since 22nd Amendment Incumbent presidential election years have traditionally been good for equities, with an average return of 11.4% since 22nd amendment. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Presidential Election Years and S&P 500 Index Average Cumulative Returns This chart suggests that since 1932, volatility during primaries can produce strong returns. Image: Capital Group
U.S. Election – Presidential Cycle and Average S&P 500 Return since 1872 Since 1872, the S&P500 index has averaged 6.2% during an election year, and 9.6% on average if a Republican wins. Image: Jefferies
Economic Policy Uncertainty During U.S. Presidential Election Years Chart suggesting that historically, economic policy uncertainty is higher in U.S. presidential election years, particularly uncertainty related to tax policy. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Around Close Presidential Elections History also suggests that predictable elections are a non-event for the U.S. stock market. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
S&P 500 under Trump vs. the Average Presidential Cycle The S&P 500 under President Donald Trump stacks up well against the average presidential cycle. Image: CNBC
S&P 500 Around Predictable U.S. Presidential Elections History suggests that predictable elections are a non-event for the U.S. stock market. Deutsche Bank is bullish. The official S&P 500 2020 estimate is 3,250. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Valuation and Returns around U.S. Presidential Elections Historically, the S&P 500 has performed well in the 12 months prior to an U.S. election. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Stocks, Bonds and Commodities Performance During U.S. Presidential Election Years Historically, since 1900, stocks and bonds have struggled in the first half of U.S. presidential election years. Image: Wells Fargo Investment Institute
U.S. Stock Market Performance During U.S. Presidential Election Years Chart showing the average performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average during U.S. presidential election years, since 1900. Image: Wells Fargo Investment Institute