S&P 500 – Monthly Seasonality for Year 3 of the Presidential Cycle Historically, June tends to be a positive month for the S&P 500 in the third year of the U.S. presidential cycle. Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Presidential Approval Rating vs. Unemployment Rate Despite the low unemployment rate, high inflation weighs on President Biden’s approval rating. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
S&P 500 Presidential Cycle The presidential cycle is currently a tailwind for the S&P 500. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Index Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle The second quarter of the third year of a president’s term has historically been bullish for U.S. stocks. Image: Carson Investment Research
Returns a Year Off the Lows for the S&P 500 Index Based on the 4-Year Presidential Cycle This year being a pre-election year could see increased U.S. government spending, which can serve to boost U.S. stock prices. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance per Year of a 4-Year Presidential Cycle Historically, the third year of a president’s term has been good for U.S. stocks on average. Image: Carson Investment Research
The Presidential Cycle and Average Total Return of the S&P 500 Should investors expect the S&P 500 to rise after midterm elections, despite macro headwinds? Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Price Returns by Year of Presidential Cycle Historically, U.S. stocks tend to outperform in the 12 months following midterm elections. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Monthly Seasonality – Presidential Cycle Year 2 Will November be a good month for U.S. stocks? Image: BofA Global Research
Pullbacks and Returns a Year Off the Lows for the S&P 500 Index Based on the 4-Year Presidential Cycle Historically, the S&P 500 average intra-year pullback from peak to trough has been more than 17% in midterm years. Image: LPL Research