S&P 500 6-Month Seasonal Returns and Percentage of Time Up – Presidential Cycle Year 1 into Presidential Cycle Year 2 From Presidential cycle year 1 into Presidential cycle year 2, the S&P 500 historically has the lowest 6-month return from August through January. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 3-Month Seasonality Returns and Percentage of Time Up – Presidential Cycle Year 1 S&P 500 seasonality is more bearish in Presidential cycle year 1, from late summer into the fall. Image: BofA Global Research
Monthly S&P 500 Seasonality for Presidential Cycle Year 1 S&P 500 seasonality shows that August has been challenging in Presidential cycle year 1. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Index Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle Historically, during a post-election year, S&P 500 returns tend to be positive in Q2. Image: LPL Financial LLC
Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) After U.S. Presidential Inaugurations In recent history, the EUR/USD tends to drop on average after U.S. Presidential inaugurations. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
U.S. Dollar and Presidential Inaugurations After U.S. presidential inaugurations, the U.S. dollar tends to rise on average. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
% Move in EUR/USD After U.S. Presidential Inaugurations EUR/USD has tended to decline in the weeks following U.S. presidential inaugurations since 1974. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
Health Care Stocks – Health Care Sector Excess Returns vs. S&P 500 Around U.S. Presidential Elections The health care sector tends to outperform after Election Day. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) and U.S. Presidential Elections Since 2000, the EUR/USD tends to rise after the U.S. presidential election. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
S&P 500 Index Returns Based on 4-Year Presidential Cycle If the President is re-elected, stocks tend to do much better in the first two years after the U.S. election. Image: LPL Financial LLC