S&P 500 6-Month Seasonal Returns and Percentage of Time Up – Presidential Cycle Year 1 into Presidential Cycle Year 2 Historically, the S&P 500 has the highest 6-month return from March through August in Presidential cycle year 1. Image: BofA Global Research
Monthly S&P 500 Seasonality for Presidential Cycle Year 1 S&P 500 seasonality shows that April, May and July are strong months in Presidential cycle year 1. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Index Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle Historically, during a post-election year, S&P 500 returns tend to be positive in Q2. Image: LPL Financial LLC
Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) After U.S. Presidential Inaugurations In recent history, the EUR/USD tends to drop on average after U.S. Presidential inaugurations. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
U.S. Dollar and Presidential Inaugurations After U.S. presidential inaugurations, the U.S. dollar tends to rise on average. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
% Move in EUR/USD After U.S. Presidential Inaugurations EUR/USD has tended to decline in the weeks following U.S. presidential inaugurations since 1974. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
Health Care Stocks – Health Care Sector Excess Returns vs. S&P 500 Around U.S. Presidential Elections The health care sector tends to outperform after Election Day. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) and U.S. Presidential Elections Since 2000, the EUR/USD tends to rise after the U.S. presidential election. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
S&P 500 Index Returns Based on 4-Year Presidential Cycle If the President is re-elected, stocks tend to do much better in the first two years after the U.S. election. Image: LPL Financial LLC
Percentage of Popular Vote and Electoral College Vote for Winning Candidate in U.S. Presidential Elections Since 1789 Winning the popular vote doesn’t ensure victory in the United States. Image: J.P. Morgan