Search Results for: presidential

Implied Probability of Vice President Biden Winning 2020 Presidential Election Is Joe Biden’s advantage underestimated? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Monthly Returns and Percentage of Time Up – Presidential Cycle Year 4 After a summer rally, this chart shows how the U.S. presidential election may affect the S&P 500. Image: BofA Global Research

Health Care Sector Excess Returns vs. S&P 500 Around U.S. Presidential Elections The health care sector typically lags ahead of U.S. presidential elections, due to uncertainty about future government policy. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Average Performance – Presidential Election Years & Incumbent Party Outcome 1936-2016 The S&P 500 has been a great indicator in the three months prior to the U.S. presidential election. Historically, the S&P 500’s performance has been 87% accurate in predicting the winner of the election. When the S&P 500’s performance was positive, the…

Average S&P 500 Price Performance – U.S. Presidential Election Results The S&P 500 has been a great indicator in the three months prior to the U.S. presidential election. Image: Strategas Research Partners

U.S. Elections – Dow Jones vs. Presidential Political Party Republicans vs. Democrats: this chart shows that Dow Jones returns have been much better when a Democrat held the presidency. Image: Ned Davis Research

U.S. Election – Nasdaq vs. Probability of Democratic Presidential Win in 2020 Has the market already priced in a democratic victory in November? Image: Variant Perception Research

S&P 500 3-Month Seasonal Returns and Presidential Cycle Year 4 Historically, election year shines in June-August, as it is the strongest 3-month period of presidential cycle year 4 (up 74% of the time with an average return of 6.93%). Image: BofA Global Research

Odds of Winning U.S. Presidential Election Here’s a look at the current betting odds for Donald Trump, Michael Bloomberg and Bernie Sanders. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

Calendar Year Performance During U.S. Presidential Election Years Presidential election years have historically been good for U.S. equities, when an incumbent president winds up winning reelection. Image: BlackRock Investment Institute