Central Banks – Global Monetary Policy Stimulus Leads Global Manufacturing PMI As global monetary policy stimulus tends to lead global manufacturing PMI by 8 months, could this signal the end of the economic slowdown? Image: Topdown Charts
Global Monetary Policy Map So far, global central banks remain firmly in a tightening mode. Image: Topdown Charts
Global Monetary Policy Rates Will inflation cause central banks to tighten monetary policy quicker than expected? Image: Topdown Charts
Policy Rate Forecasts Goldman Sachs’ 2025 forecast indicates a trend of continued monetary easing among major economies as central banks respond to evolving economic conditions while striving to stabilize growth and meet inflation targets. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Global Policy Rate Hikes In June 2024, for the first time since October 2020, no major central banks around the world raised interest rates, marking a significant shift in global monetary policies. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Interest Rates – Central Bank Policy Rate Hikes vs. Cuts Emerging market central banks typically take the lead in initiating monetary tightening and easing cycles. In 2024, their approach has shifted away from aggressive easing. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Median Policy Rate Projections in the Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections The anticipation of rate cuts in 2024 and beyond is generally viewed as bullish for equity markets, as it signals a potential easing of monetary policy that can support economic growth and stock prices. Image: BofA Global Research
Global Central Bank Balance Sheets The ongoing trend of central banks purchasing global debt since 2008, will depend on dynamic economic conditions, inflationary forces, and the specific monetary policy goals of each individual central bank. Image: Real Investment Advice
Global Negative Yielding Debt The transition from $18 trillion to zero in negative-yielding debt over the past few years reflects a broader shift away from the era of ultra-low interest rates and easy monetary policy. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Impulse to Quarterly Annualized GDP Growth from Fiscal Policy and Financial Conditions Is a soft landing possible in 2023? The drag on U.S. GDP from monetary and fiscal policy tightening is expected to fade next year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
FMS Investors – Net % That Monetary Risk to Be Above Normal Does tightening monetary policy pose the greatest risk to financial market stability? Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey