U.S. Economic Surprise Index
U.S. Economic Surprise Index A declining U.S. Economic Surprise Index, caused by economic data consistently underperforming expectations, can negatively impact equity performance. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
U.S. Economic Surprise Index A declining U.S. Economic Surprise Index, caused by economic data consistently underperforming expectations, can negatively impact equity performance. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Citigroup Economic Surprise Index vs. 10-Year Treasury Yield This chart shows a good correlation between Citigroup Economic Surprise Index and 10-year Treasury yield. Lower yields ahead? You may also like “For the Last Few Years, Equity Markets Have Been Leading Bond Markets.” Image: Yardeni Research, Inc.
Citi Economic Surprise Index The falling Citi U.S. Economic Surprise Index indicates that economic data is no longer surpassing expectations, but this doesn’t necessarily signal a sudden economic downturn. Image: Bloomberg
U.S. Economic Surprise Index A rising U.S. Economic Surprise Index is often associated with positive equity performance due to enhanced investor sentiment and expectations of continued economic growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 vs. U.S. Economic Surprise – CPI Surprise The improving economic surprise index and favorable macroeconomic conditions suggest that U.S. equities may better withstand inflation compared to previous cycles. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Index vs. U.S. Citi Economic Surprise Index The S&P 500 Index and the U.S. Citi Economic Surprise Index are often closely correlated. But right now, bad news is good news, until it’s not. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Citi Economic Surprise Index The Citi Economic Surprise Index for the U.S. is on the rise, signaling that economic data releases are exceeding analyst expectations and pointing to a positive momentum in the U.S. economic performance. Image: BofA Global Research
Trade-Weighted Dollar vs. G10 Citigroup Economic Surprise Index Will the U.S. dollar trend weaker in 2023? Image: BCA Research
U.S. Economic Surprise Index vs. 60 Day Change in 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yields Is the worst of the bond sell-off over? Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Citi U.S. Economic Surprise Index vs. S&P 500 12-Month Earnings Surprise U.S. earnings revisions suggest negative economic surprises. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Citi U.S. Economic Surprise Index vs. 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Should investors expect U.S. Treasuries to rally? Image: Morgan Stanley Research