Inflation – Core PCE and Forecasts

Inflation – U.S. Core PCE and Forecasts BofA forecasts that U.S. core PCE will move higher in the second half of 2024 due to unfavorable base effects, but risks are substantially lower compared to the two years prior. Image: BofA Global Research

Inflation – U.S. Core PCE

Inflation – U.S. Core PCE The GS Core Inflation Tracker has dropped below the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%, a key element of its monetary policy designed to maintain price stability and anchor inflation expectations. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Inflation – U.S. Core PCE and Core CPI

Inflation – U.S. Core PCE and Core CPI Goldman Sachs’ forecast of a continuous decline in U.S. core PCE and core CPI suggests a potential slowdown in inflationary pressures, which could have significant implications for the overall economic outlook. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Inflation – Core PCE and Core CPI

U.S. Inflation – Core PCE and Core CPI Inflation is trending downward towards the Fed’s 2% target, a crucial aspect of its monetary policy aimed at maintaining price stability and anchoring inflation expectations at a moderate level. Image: BofA Global Research

U.S. Headline Inflation and U.S. Core PCE inflation

U.S. Headline Inflation and U.S. Core PCE inflation According to Goldman Sachs, U.S. PCE inflation is expected to converge to the 2% target by 2025, potentially leading to a more predictable and stable economic environment for U.S. consumers. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Core PCE Inflation

U.S. Core PCE Inflation For the past three months, U.S. core PCE inflation, the Federal Reserve’s favored gauge of inflation, has consistently exceeded the 2% target. Image: BofA Global Research

Contributions to Year-on-Year U.S. Core PCE Inflation

Contributions to Year-on-Year U.S. Core PCE Inflation Goldman Sachs maintains its projection for a decrease in U.S. core PCE, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, which could have significant implications for the broader economy. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Fed Funds Rate Less U.S. Core PCE

Fed Funds Rate Less U.S. Core PCE Is the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy really restrictive in order to return inflation to 2%? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

U.S. Core PCE Inflation

U.S. Core PCE Inflation Goldman Sachs still expects U.S. core inflation to continue to decline. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Core PCE Inflation Forecasts

Core PCE Inflation Forecasts Goldman Sachs expects U.S. core PCE inflation to fall faster than expected. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research