Number of Fed Rate Hikes/Cuts Expected Over Next 12 Months
Number of Fed Rate Hikes/Cuts Expected Over Next 12 Months Fed funds futures imply two further rate cuts over the next 12 months. Image: Credit Suisse Research
Break-Even Inflation Rate On 10-Year TIPS and Fed Rate Cut (Hike)
Break-Even Inflation Rate On 10-Year TIPS and Fed Rate Cut (Hike) If inflation expectations continue to fall or remain low, the Fed could probably cut rates further. Image: Gavekal
Interest Rates – U.S. Federal Funds Rate Expectations
Interest Rates – U.S. Federal Funds Rate Expectations Markets price in further rate hikes. Is inflation a risk? Image: Oxford Economics
Survey – When Is the Fed Most Likely to Raise Interest Rates?
Survey – When Is the Fed Most Likely to Raise Interest Rates? 43% of the respondents in the survey see the Fed lifting off in 2023, with another 39% projecting the first rate hike in 2024 or later. Image: J.P. Morgan
Fed Funds vs. Employment/Population + Inflation
Fed Funds vs. Employment/Population + Inflation This chart suggests the optimal monetary policy, while Fed officials do not anticipate any rate hikes until 2022. Image: Oxford Economics
Is Wall Street Overestimating Fed Rate Cut Odds?
Is Wall Street Overestimating Fed Rate Cut Odds? For the first time, the probability of a rate cut is above 80%, and the probability of a rate hike is 0%. Image: Bloomberg