Euro Area Real M1 Growth Leads Euro Area Manufacturing PMI This chart suggests that euro area real M1 growth leads euro area manufacturing PMI by 9 months. Picture source: Morgan Stanley Research
Real M1 Leads Euro Area Real GDP Growth This interesting chart suggests that real M1 leads euro area real GDP growth by 12 months. Picture source: Pictet Wealth Management
U.S. Equities at 70-Year Highs vs. European Equities Are European stocks more attractive than U.S. stocks? Currently, the euro area economy is more impacted by the global slowdown than the U.S. economy. And investors also think that the euro area economy is less resilient than the U.S. economy in the event of a shock. Picture source:…
Eurozone Inflation and Brent Oil Prices This interesting chart shows the direct effect of brent oil prices (YoY % change) on euro area inflation. Picture source: Jeroen Blokland
Could European Stocks Outperform U.S. Stocks? This chart shows U.S. vs. European stocks at 70-year highs. Keep in mind that investors think that the euro area economy is less resilient than the U.S. economy in the event of a shock. Currently, the euro area economy is more impacted by the global slowdown than the U.S.…
Why Do Eurozone Bond Investors Accept Zero Long-Term Interest Rates? Because they have a deflationary view of the euro area economy. Now, investors are losing so much money just by holding German bonds in real terms (adjusted for inflation). Today, the Germany 10-Year bond yield hits 0% again. Keep in mind that raising interest rates in…
