S&P 500 Earnings Yield vs. 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield

S&P 500 Earnings Yield vs. 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield The gap between the S&P 500 earnings yield and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is currently relatively high. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Earnings Price Yield for S&P 500 Minus Maturity of 10-Year Treasuries

Earnings Price Yield for S&P 500 Minus Maturity of 10-Year Treasuries This chart suggests that equities are more attractive relative to fixed income. But the equity risk does not disappear because the spread (earnings yield minus Treasury yield) is positive. Image: Bhirud Associates

U.S. Corporate Profits and 10Y-3M Yield Curve

U.S. Corporate Profits and 10Y-3M Yield Curve While the divergence between large-cap profits and the rest of the economy is the widest on record, the steepening yield curve suggests an earnings rebound. Image: BofA Global Research

S&P 500 Valuation and Equity Risk Premium

S&P 500 Valuation and Equity Risk Premium This chart shows that the equity risk premium (earnings yield less 10-year Treasury yield) has declined to 3.9%. Image: Fidelity Investments

Equity Risk Premium

Equity Risk Premium The equity risk premium (earnings yield less bond yield) stands at 4.48% (the 90th percentile since 1985). It suggests that equities are cheap relative to bonds. Image: Fidelity Investments

Time Lags Between Indicators and Recessions

Time Lags Between Indicators and Recessions Chart showing that credit standards, earnings and the yield curve are the earliest recession indicators. Image: Oxford Economics