Valuation – U.S. Equity Market Cap to GDP and U.S. Corporate Profits to GDP Is the U.S. stock market expensive? The U.S. equity market capitalization to GDP ratio hits a new all-time high. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Corporate Profits After Tax vs. S&P 500 Do valuations still matter? The gap between the S&P 500 and corporate profits after tax remains very wide. Image: Real Investment Advice
Share of U.S. Corporate Profits from Foreign Markets 21% of U.S. corporate profits currently come from foreign markets. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 EPS vs. U.S. NIPA Corporate Profits This chart puts into perspective the wide divergence between S&P 500 EPS and U.S. NIPA corporate profits. Image: BofA Research Investment Committee
S&P 500 Index vs. U.S. Corporate Profits After Tax Index Do valuations still matter? This chart puts into perspective the wide divergence between the S&P 500 and U.S. corporate profits after tax. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Global Corporate Profits, Level and Cumulative Loses J.P. Morgan expects global corporate profits to fall by about 70% in the first half of 2020. Image: J.P. Morgan
S&P 500 vs. Corporate Profits After Tax The current divergence between the S&P 500 and corporate profits after tax is the widest on record. It is possible to close the gap “down” with a recession. Image: Real Investment Advice
U.S. Corporate Profits and 10Y-3M Yield Curve While the divergence between large-cap profits and the rest of the economy is the widest on record, the steepening yield curve suggests an earnings rebound. Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Corporate Profits vs. Assets U.S. corporate profits are near 20-year lows relative to fixed assets. The alternative to a recovery in corporate profits is the increasing risk of recession. Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Corporate Profits over the Business Cycle U.S. corporate profits are at risk in the late stage of the expansion. mage: BlackRock Investment Institute