AAII U.S. Investor Sentiment Bull – Bear Spread

AAII U.S. Investor Sentiment Bull – Bear Spread The AAII U.S. investor sentiment bull-bear spread continues to signal sustained pessimism among individual investors. Image: The Daily Shot

U.S. High Yield Credit Spreads and Recessions

U.S. High Yield Credit Spreads and Recessions U.S. high-yield credit spreads in April 2025 show little sign of recession fears, remaining well below levels observed during previous downturns. Image: Deutsche Bank

Median S&P 500 Stock Bid-Ask Spread

Median S&P 500 Stock Bid-Ask Spread Bid-ask spreads for S&P 500 stocks have widened significantly in recent trading sessions, driven by heightened market volatility and liquidity strains. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Junk and Investment Grade Credit Spreads

Junk and Investment Grade Credit Spreads Corporate bond yield spreads are often used as a gauge of financial market stress. They can provide insights into the likelihood of an economic downturn, but they are not foolproof predictors. Image: Real Investment Advice

U.S. High Yield Credit Spreads vs. VIX

U.S. High Yield Credit Spreads vs. VIX High-yield credit spreads have widened by over 150bps from their 17-year lows, signaling growing financial stress. While rising credit spreads have often been a precursor to recessions, they can sometimes lead to false signals. Image: Topdown Charts

U.S. High Yield Corporate Bond Spreads

U.S. High Yield Corporate Bond Spreads While tight high-yield credit spreads generally reflect robust market confidence, they can also serve as a warning of excessive investor complacency. Given this dual nature, it’s crucial to monitor credit spreads closely. Image: Topdown Charts

Real 10-Year Return – Spread: S&P 500 – Treasuries

Real 10-Year Return – Spread: S&P 500 – Treasuries Over the past decade, investors have reaped substantial rewards from equities, as stocks have significantly outperformed bonds. However, the outlook for the next ten years indicates that this trend may not persist. Image: Topdown Charts

U.S. Corporate Bond Spreads

U.S. Corporate Bond Spreads U.S. corporate bond spreads are currently at historically tight levels, suggesting potential bubble-like conditions. While a major correction is not guaranteed, several factors indicate rising risks in the first half of 2025. Image: Alpine Macro

U.S. High Yield Spreads

U.S. High Yield Spreads Having tight credit spreads is like being on a rollercoaster with no safety bar—looks fun until you realize you should’ve paid more attention! Image: Bloomberg