AAII Investor Sentiment Bull Minus Bear Spread The AAII investor sentiment bull-minus-bear spread signals a bullish outlook, reflecting optimism and confidence among individual investors. Image: J.P. Morgan
U.S. High Yield Corporate Bond Spreads While tight high-yield credit spreads reflect strong market confidence, they also warrant caution as they may mask underlying vulnerabilities and investor complacency. Therefore, vigilant monitoring of credit spreads is essential. Image: Topdown Charts
U.S. High Yield Credit Spreads and Recessions U.S. high-yield credit spreads in May 2025 show little evidence of recession fears, remaining well below the levels seen during previous downturns. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 and Treasury Bond to Corporate BB High Yield Spread Widening credit spreads often signal upcoming declines in the S&P 500, serving as a valuable leading indicator of equity market stress because they typically react early to shifts in market sentiment and risk. Image: Real Investment Advice
Median S&P 500 Stock Bid-Ask Spread Bid-ask spreads for S&P 500 stocks have widened significantly in recent trading sessions, driven by heightened market volatility and liquidity strains. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Junk and Investment Grade Credit Spreads Corporate bond yield spreads are often used as a gauge of financial market stress. They can provide insights into the likelihood of an economic downturn, but they are not foolproof predictors. Image: Real Investment Advice
U.S. High Yield Credit Spreads vs. VIX High-yield credit spreads have widened by over 150bps from their 17-year lows, signaling growing financial stress. While rising credit spreads have often been a precursor to recessions, they can sometimes lead to false signals. Image: Topdown Charts
Performance – Spread Between Quarterly Percentage Gains in S&P 500 Value and Growth Indexes Value stocks have significantly outperformed growth stocks in the first quarter of 2025. The upcoming earnings reports will play a pivotal role in determining whether this trend will persist or if growth stocks will reclaim their leadership. Image: Bloomberg
Real 10-Year Return – Spread: S&P 500 – Treasuries Over the past decade, investors have reaped substantial rewards from equities, as stocks have significantly outperformed bonds. However, the outlook for the next ten years indicates that this trend may not persist. Image: Topdown Charts
U.S. Corporate Bond Spreads U.S. corporate bond spreads are currently at historically tight levels, suggesting potential bubble-like conditions. While a major correction is not guaranteed, several factors indicate rising risks in the first half of 2025. Image: Alpine Macro
Spread of Nasdaq-100 Earnings Yield Over 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Investing in the Nasdaq 100 presents both opportunities and risks, particularly in the current economic climate characterized by high bond yields and stock market exuberance. Image: Bloomberg