Search Results for: sentiment

GS Sentiment Indicator Are investors be too bullish? Currently, the GS Sentiment Indicator is above average at 1.2 standard deviations. Picture source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Investor Sentiment​ – NAAIM Exposure Index and S&P 500 NAAIM Exposure Index dropped to 56.15% (median exposure at 70%). NAAIM members’ optimism was short-lived. Picture source: Willie Delwiche, Baird

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index – Current Conditions Index This index has been negative year-over-year for 8 consecutive months. This is rare outside of recession. Picture source: Pictet Asset Management

U.S. Consumer Sentiment The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is more sensitive to financial markets, whereas the Conference Board Index reflects labor market conditions. Picture source: J.P. Morgan

Gold Sentiment at Annual High The gold price ‘risk radar’ index is flashing red (-2.1 standard deviations). Picture source: Sentix, Bloomberg Finance L.P.

NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment The National Association of Active Investment Managers Exposure Index represents the two-week moving average exposure to U.S. equity markets reported by NAAIM members. The chart shows that NAAIM members’ optimism was short-lived. Picture source: National Association of Active Investment Managers (NAAIM)

European Equity Market Sentiment Index The chart shows that the European equity market sentiment has deteriorated. Picture source: Nomura

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Leads U.S. Unemployment Rate This interesting chart suggests that the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index leads the U.S. unemployment rate by 7 months (R = 0.95). Picture source: Paolo Cardena

U.S. Retail Sales and Consumer Sentiment Currently, the consumer is doing well, keeping the U.S. economy from tanking, and consumer sentiment is high. Picture source: Credit Suisse

AAII U.S. Investor Sentiment Bull vs. AAII U.S. Investor Sentiment Bear Spread The current spread suggests excessive pessimism. Picture source: Nautilus Research