Different Market Sentiment Indicators
Different Market Sentiment Indicators With volatility easing, market sentiment is back to neutral, a long way from euphoria and leaving room for further upside. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Different Market Sentiment Indicators With volatility easing, market sentiment is back to neutral, a long way from euphoria and leaving room for further upside. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index The Greed and Fear Index stands at 74.15, approaching extreme greed. The mood is clearly bullish, though not yet stretched to the levels typically seen at major peaks. Image: Real Investment Advice
Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning Goldman Sachs’ U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator is sitting close to neutral at 0.3. Past episodes at similar levels have generally been followed by a 0.8% rise in the S&P 500 over the next month. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment At 30 on the Fear & Greed Index, caution dominates. Market participants are uneasy, but panic has yet to set in. Image: Cable News Network
AAII Sentiment Survey Even with the S&P 500 near record highs, U.S. retail investors are staying cautious. The AAII bull-bear spread is stuck in negative territory for the fourth consecutive week. That hesitation can be a tailwind for the market. Image: The Daily Chartbook
NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment At 79.27, the latest reading shows that active managers have eased back on U.S. equity optimism, pointing to a cooler but still confident market mood, neither overheated nor subdued. The National Association of Active Investment Managers Exposure Index represents the two-week moving average exposure to U.S. equity markets reported by NAAIM…
Sentiment – Risk Appetite and Expected U.S. Equity Market Performance Risk appetite among U.S. equity fund managers remains positive but has cooled, with many bracing for a June pullback and only modest gains through year-end as concerns over higher interest rates and recession risks build. Image: S&P Global Market Intelligence
Earnings Sentiment – S&P 500, STOXX 600, Topix, MSCI EM, MSCI World Analysts’ enthusiasm for S&P 500 earnings has eased slightly in recent weeks, but expectations still sit at relatively high levels as confidence in the full-year outlook persists. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Risk Sentiment Indicator U.S. equities have surged, but risk sentiment stays neutral, leaving room for the rally to run as many investors stay on the sidelines. Image: TS Lombard
S&P 500 1-Month Forward Returns Based On Sentiment Indicator Level Goldman Sachs’ U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator sits at 1.7, a reading historically linked to an average 0.4% decline in the S&P 500 over the next month. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning At 1.7, Goldman Sachs’ U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator looks stretched, a level that has historically been followed by an average -0.4% return in the S&P 500 over the following month. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research