Scatter Plot Returns of P/E Multiples and S&P 500 1-Year Returns The lack of correlation between the P/E ratio and the S&P 500’s one-year return suggests that investors should focus on long-term strategies rather than making decisions based solely on current valuations. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Valuation Multiples Despite the U.S. stock market’s robust performance, the growing gap between earnings growth and price increases has inflated valuations to potentially unsustainable levels, warranting caution based on historical trends. Image: Real Investment Advice
Valuation – Equal-Weight S&P 500 P/E Multiple According to Goldman Sachs, the equal-weight S&P 500 P/E multiple is currently 13% above fair value. This suggests that stocks in the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index may be relatively more expensive compared to their earnings potential. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Valuation Matrix (12-Month Forward EPS and P/E Multiple) According to Morgan Stanley, U.S. equity market gains in 2024 may stall due to high forward multiples and ambitious earnings forecasts for the next 12 months. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
FY2 P/E Multiple of S&P 500 Top and Bottom Valuation Quintiles The valuation gap between high and low valuation U.S. stocks remains elevated, presenting potential opportunities for value investors. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Labor Market – Multiple Jobholders, Primary and Secondary Jobs Full Time More Americans are taking on second jobs as the cost of living increases. Image: The Daily Shot
S&P 500 Index Performance During Periods of Multiples Fed Rate Hikes Historically, Fed rate hikes cycles are not a threat to the S&P 500 Index. Image: LPL Research
S&P 500 Valuation Multiples S&P 500 valuation multiples remain stretched and well above averages. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation – S&P 500 Forward P/E Multiple and First Hike of Fed Tightening Cycle Historically, the S&P 500 forward P/E remains flat in the 6 months before and after the start of the first Fed hike. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
FY2 P/E Multiple of S&P 500 Top and Bottom Sector-Neutral Valuation Quintiles The valuation dispersion for stocks in the S&P 500 is historically high. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation – Consensus FY2 P/E Multiple – Information Technology vs. S&P 500 S&P 500 valuations remain high, particularly info tech stocks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research