Valuation – Consensus FY2 P/E Multiple – Information Technology vs. S&P 500 S&P 500 valuations remain high, particularly info tech stocks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation – S&P 500 FY2 P/E Multiple – Five Largest Stocks vs. Other 495 Stocks S&P 500 valuations remain high, particularly FAAMG stocks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
FY2 P/E Multiple of S&P 500 Top and Bottom Valuation Quintiles The valuation gap between high and low valuation stocks has become the widest since 2000. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Valuation Matrix (12-Month Forward EPS and P/E Multiple) This matrix puts the valuation of the S&P 500 into perspective. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Bond Yields vs. S&P 500 Multiples This chart suggests that lower bond yields imply higher S&P 500 multiples. Image: Credit Suisse
S&P 500 Annual Return: Dividends, Earnings Growth and Multiple Expansion In 2019, the S&P 500 rose 31.5%. 26.9% came from multiple expansion, 2.6% from dividends, and 2.0% from earnings growth. Historically, S&P multiples contract or remain flat following years of big multiple expansion. Image: Richardson GMP
S&P 500 Return: Earnings Growth vs. Multiple Expansion Multiple expansion explains the S&P 500’s impressive total return of 31.49% in 2019, despite muted earnings. Image: Strategas
S&P 500 Valuation Multiples The price-to-sales ratio of the S&P 500 Index suggests that stocks are as expensive as they were during the Internet bubble. The P/E ratio also remains at high level. Image: Tomasz Hońdo
MSCI ACWI and S&P 500 Forward P/E Multiple This year, the forward P/E multiple for global equities and for the S&P 500 increased by approximately 24%. Historically, multiples contract or remain flat following years of big multiple expansion. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Multiple Expansion – Year-Over-Year Change in the S&P 500 Forward P/E Since the beginning of the year, the multiple expansion explains the S&P 500 return. Historically, S&P multiples contract or remain flat following years of big multiple expansion. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch US Equity & US Quant Strategy