Bear Market Rally – S&P 500 “Bounced” in 2008 To put the current bear market rally in perspective, this chart shows that the S&P 500 “bounced” six times by 9% to 19% in 2008. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Global Growth, Equity Rally and Fed Balance Sheet This chart suggests that economic data is the driving force behind the equity rally, not the Fed’s balance sheet. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
U.S. Stock Market: Nasdaq Rally Chart suggesting that the current Nasdaq rally isn’t a replay of the dotcom bubble Images: CNBC
Buybacks Are the Source of the Rally in the Stock Market since 2009 But as trade tensions and economic slowdown worry U.S. firms, stock buybacks declined last quarter. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
China trade deal could spark a big rally, says Jeremy Siegel Jeremy Siegel is the Russell E. Palmer Professor of Finance at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania in Philadelphia. He comments on China trade talks and the effects on the stock market. He’s worry that the dollar has been very strong. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_7Y1id-I88I
Why Warren Buffett says that stocks are generally better than bonds? Our equity risk premium model shows when the US stock market return for the next 10 years is more or less attractive than the 10-Year Treasury Note. Since 1970, the 10-year Treasury Note was less attractive than the US stock market over a 10-year…
Volatility – 3-month VIX vs. VIX A sign of risk aversion, as the 3-month VIX relative to the VIX did not move above 1.0 and did not confirm last week’s S&P 500 rally. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Performance After 20% Declines Since 1980 Goldman Sachs chief U.S. equity strategist, predicts that the S&P 500 will fall to 2,000 and rally to around 3,000 by the end the year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Bear Market “Head Fake” Rallies Since 1937, eleven bear markets experienced a “head fake” rally, when the real economic pain began in the United States. Image: CNBC
S&P 500: Reaction to Recoveries from Global Slowdowns When will the U.S. stock market rally end? This chart shows the S&P 500’s response to past global recoveries from global synchronized slowdowns since 1965. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC