Probability of S&P 500 Drawdown / Rally The S&P 500 has reached a point where the probabilities of a sharp rally and a meaningful drawdown are closely aligned, signaling a market at equilibrium. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Instances When S&P 500 Longer-Term Rally Stalls Historically, periods of strong annual stock gains of over 20% followed by short-term flat performance have often led to weaker returns in the following 3 to 6 months. Image: MarketDesk Research
S&P 500 Returns After a 1% or Greater Return on the First Day of the Santa Claus Rally Bulls are excited! Since 1969, each time the S&P 500 has gained 1% or more on the first day of the Santa Claus Rally, it has been positive 100% of the time during the full rally period,…
S&P 500 Annual Performance Based How the Santa Claus Rally Does The Santa Claus rally historically indicates positive market momentum during the holiday season, which may extend into the following year and lead to further gains, signaling optimism for the entire year. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Returns during the Santa Claus Rally Bulls celebrate the Santa Claus Rally, which typically sees U.S. stock prices rise during the last five trading days of December and the first two trading days of January. Since 1950, this rally has averaged a gain of 1.3%. Image: Carson Investment Research
The Santa Claus Rally – S&P 500 Index Returns Historically, a bullish Santa Claus rally has tended to lead to strength for January and the full year, often leaving investors as giddy as a kid on Christmas Day! Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance After a Negative Santa Claus Rally and Negative First Five Days Historically, the combination of a negative Santa Claus rally and a negative first five days of a new year for the S&P 500 index has been associated with weaker returns for the rest of the year on average. Image: Carson Investment…
Bear Market Rally or New Bull Market? Most FMS investors do not think this is a new bull market. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey
S&P 500 – Trifecta of the Santa Claus Rally, First 5 Days of the Year, and January All Green Could the S&P 500 end the year higher with a double-digit gain? Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Index Returns and Santa Claus Rally Historically, a bearish Santa Claus rally does not tend to bode well for January and the full year. Image: LPL Research
S&P 500 – the Rally from March 2020 vs. the Rally from March 1935 Will the S&P 500 follow the rally from March 1935? Image: BofA Global Research