Fed Tightening and Total Credit Growth
Fed Tightening and Total Credit Growth Fed tightening monetary policy does not bode well for credit growth. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
Fed Tightening and Total Credit Growth Fed tightening monetary policy does not bode well for credit growth. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
Emerging Markets Credit Growth Chart showing that credit growth in most emerging markets is still growing at a sustained pace. Image: Oxford Economics
Chinese Credit Growth and OECD Leading Indicator for China Chinese Credit growth rebounded in September and suggests stronger activity on the horizon. The OECD leading indicator for China picked up further at the highest level since 2017. Image: Danske Bank Research
China Property Sales and Total Credit Growth According to Gavekal, Chinese monetary policy is still in a moderate “selective easing” mode. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
U.S. Credit Impulse as % of GDP vs. U.S. Private Domestic Demand Growth Credit growth in the U.S. has historically been a good indicator of underlying GDP growth. Image: Deutsche Bank
Contribution to S&P 500 EPS Growth The seven biggest S&P 500 stocks are set to drive 46% of the index’s EPS growth in 2026, down slightly from a 50% share this year as the rest of the market shows signs of catching up. Image: Credit Suisse Research
Survey – Credit Investors: What Are Your Biggest Concerns? The 2024 U.S. election outcome could significantly impact fiscal policy, debt, interest rates, inflation, and economic growth, which are key concerns for U.S. credit investors. Image: BofA Credit Investor Survey
China Credit Impulse and Corporate Financing Index China credit impulse is weakening as Beijing orders banks to limit loan growth for rest of the year. Image: Alpine Macro
U.S. Consumer Credit The current downtrend in US consumer credit impulse could suggest a scenario of slowing growth this year. Image: Macrobond Financial
Top 5 vs. S&P 500 ex-Top 5 – YoY Contribution of EPS and P/E to Returns The performance gap could widen further, as the top 5 largest stocks in the S&P 500 are superior on almost every financial metric (revenue, profit growth, margin structure, volatility and corporate leverage). Image: Credit Suisse Research
Citi Economic Surprise Index vs. EUR/USD Weaker European growth relative to the U.S. could weaken Euro/U.S. Dollar. Image: Credit Suisse