U.S. Equity EPS Growth Expectations U.S. equity EPS growth expectations are particularly strong, with analysts projecting double-digit growth in both 2025 and 2026, driven by economic expansion and technological advancements. Image: TS Lombard
Change in U.S. Dollar vs. Change in S&P 500 EPS While there are instances where the U.S. Dollar and S&P 500 EPS may move in tandem, the overall statistical relationship is weak. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
S&P 500 Quarterly YoY EPS Growth Relative to Consensus Expectations S&P 500 earnings growth has consistently exceeded expectations in recent years, reflecting strong corporate performance and favorable economic conditions, leading analysts to remain optimistic about future growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Quarterly EPS Deutsche Bank projects that S&P 500 earnings growth will increase from 8.7% year-over-year in Q3 to 12.8% in Q4, aligning with the low double-digit growth typically seen outside of recessions. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Forward EPS YoY % Change vs. S&P 500 Annual Rate of Change Market performance typically reflects annual changes in corporate earnings. Should the U.S. economy experience a slowdown in 2025, we may see a decline in earnings growth, potentially resulting in slower market growth. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Performance vs. Forward EPS While long-term earnings are essential for driving stock prices over time, the influence of rising long-term yields cannot be overlooked. Image: Evercore ISI
MSCI World EPS The decline in MSCI AC World EPS consensus estimates for 2025 reflects a cautious stance among analysts as they navigate an uncertain economic landscape marked by slower growth and sector-specific challenges. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index vs. S&P 500 EPS Annual % Change With the ISM Manufacturing Index still in contraction territory and strongly correlated with S&P 500 earnings growth, questions arise about the resilience of corporate earnings in 2025. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 EPS and Long-Term Trend in Earnings The S&P 500’s earnings trend remains robust, with projections indicating continued growth near the upper limits of its long-term trend channel. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 EPS While the Magnificent 7 are still expected to report strong earnings growth, the anticipated narrowing of the gap with the S&P 493 suggests a potential shift towards more diversified market performance. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
EPS Revisions While consensus estimates for 2025 S&P 500 EPS have reverted to modest downward revisions, the overall market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, supported by improving economic indicators. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research