Correlation Between AAII Bull-Bear Spread and S&P 500 Returns The AAII bull-bear spread may not necessarily be a reliable predictor of future S&P 500 returns. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
S&P 500 Returns During Earnings Season The S&P 500 typically rallies during earnings season, with a median average return of 2.0%. But not this time. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Share of S&P 500 Returns Attribuable to the Top 10 Contributors 10 stocks account for 82% of the S&P 500’s year-to-date return as of June 29. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Returns When >10% at the End of June When the previous year is negative, a strong performance of the S&P 500 in the first half of the year typically results in a solid return in the second half. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Return vs. Modeled Price Based on Nine Flow Variables Goldman Sachs expects the S&P 500’s growth potential to be limited, as S&P 500 daily returns are typically linked with inflows. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Seasonality – Average Rolling Monthly S&P 500 Return Sell in May this year? Since 1950, the average annualized return of the S&P 500 from May through October has been 5%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Average S&P 500 Returns Around Recessionary Bear Markets There are several indicators that can be used to confirm recessionary bear market lows. Image: BofA Research Investment Committee
S&P 500 Returns Around the End of Fed Hiking Cycles In recent history, U.S. stocks tend to rally if there is no recession following the end of Fed hiking cycles. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Returns After a 7% Gain in the First Quarter Since 1954, when the S&P 500 gained more than 7% in the first quarter, bears cried and bulls smiled throughout the year. Image: Carson Investment Research
Seasonality – S&P 500 Returns in March Will the last two weeks of March be positive for the S&P 500 Index this year? Image: LPL Research