Median 2-Week S&P 500 Returns

Median 2-Week S&P 500 Returns Since 1950, the first half of July has consistently been a seasonally strong period for the S&P 500, making it the best half-month of the year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Returns – Strong vs. Weak Periods

S&P 500 Returns – Strong vs. Weak Periods U.S. stock market returns do tend to be weaker on average during the summer months (May–October) compared to the winter months (November–April). However, investors should consider seasonality as a tendency rather than a rule. Image: Real Investment Advice

Performance – S&P 500 Return vs. MSCI Europe Return

Performance – S&P 500 Index vs. MSCI ACWI ex-US Despite rebounding after the tariff pause, the S&P 500 has not regained global equity leadership; European and Asian stocks have outperformed in 2025 due to better valuations and more stable policies. Image: Bloomberg

Consumer Sentiment Index and Subsequent 12-Month S&P 500 Returns

Consumer Sentiment Index and Subsequent 12-Month S&P 500 Returns Historically, sharp drops in consumer sentiment have often preceded strong stock market performance over the following year, making sentiment lows a potential signal for future gains. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management

Average S&P 500 Return in Session Following a Down Day

Average S&P 500 Return in Session Following a Down Day In 2025, investors who bought the dip in the U.S. stock market experienced the highest next-day returns in over 30 years, with the S&P 500 averaging a 0.36% gain in the trading session following a down day. Image: Yahoo Finance

Indexed S&P 500 Return – Market Hours vs. Overnight

Indexed S&P 500 Return – Market Hours vs. Overnight Nearly all of the S&P 500’s recent sharp downturn occurred overnight, while the recovery and rally happened mainly during regular U.S. trading hours, fueled by corporate earnings and shifts in investor sentiment throughout the day. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

S&P 500 Returns the First 100 Days of a New Term

S&P 500 Returns the First 100 Days of a New Term The S&P 500’s 7.8% decline during Donald Trump’s first 100 days in office represents the worst start to a president’s term since Richard Nixon’s in 1973. Image: Yahoo Finance

Sensitivity of S&P 500 Returns to EPS and P/E Scenario

Sensitivity of S&P 500 Returns to EPS and P/E Scenario Goldman Sachs projects S&P 500 EPS at $253 for 2025, driven by economic slowdowns, tariff pressures, and inflationary risks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research