S&P 500 Volatility
S&P 500 Volatility The concentration of large-cap stocks has significantly impacted market volatility, with these stocks accounting for a record share of it. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Volatility The concentration of large-cap stocks has significantly impacted market volatility, with these stocks accounting for a record share of it. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Would You Rather Be Long or Short S&P 500 Volatility at the Moment? 73% of JPM clients prefer to be long S&P 500 volatility right now. Image: J.P. Morgan
Average Probability S&P 500 Volatility Regime The probability of a high S&P 500 volatility regime has increased, suggesting that elevated volatility could persist throughout 2025. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Implied Volatility (VIX) and Realized S&P 500 Volatility (1-Month) According to Goldman Sachs, the volatility risk premium will return toward 2021’s highs in the coming weeks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Volatility History The stock market crash of 1929, the Black Monday of 1987, the global financial crisis in 2008, and the COVID-19 crisis were the most extreme events. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Volatility by Decade Volatility ended this decade at a lower level than the previous decade. Image: Reuters
S&P 500 Volatility in 2020 Goldman Sachs economic model suggests volatility of 14.7 on average next year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Nominal GDP vs. S&P 500 Volatility This chart shows that the S&P 500 volatility remains high in a context of slower macroeconomic cycles. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
“Real Fed Rates Are the Most Accurate Predictor of Future S&P 500 Volatility,” Says SocGen SocGen says it is the most accurate predictor of S&P 500’s volatility over the last 50 years. Should investors be nervous about rising real interest rates? Yes, higher real interest rates mean higher borrowing costs. Real Fed funds rate is…
VIX Index and S&P 500 Realized Volatility The spread between the VIX and the S&P 10-day realized volatility, when in the 98th percentile, may signal a potential opportunity for U.S. stocks to rally towards the end of the year. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Realized Volatility During Recession During recessions, there is often increased uncertainty and risk aversion among investors, which can lead to higher levels of volatility in the U.S. stock market. Image: BofA Global Research