Average Probability S&P 500 Volatility Regime
Average Probability S&P 500 Volatility Regime The probability of a low volatility regime has decreased. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Average Probability S&P 500 Volatility Regime The probability of a low volatility regime has decreased. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Implied Volatility (VIX) and Realized S&P 500 Volatility (1-Month) According to Goldman Sachs, the volatility risk premium will return toward 2021’s highs in the coming weeks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Volatility by Month Realised volatility is declining, as investors become more confident that the business cycle has moved into the recovery phase. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
S&P 500 Volatility History The stock market crash of 1929, the Black Monday of 1987, the global financial crisis in 2008, and the COVID-19 crisis were the most extreme events. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Volatility by Decade Volatility ended this decade at a lower level than the previous decade. Image: Reuters
S&P 500 Volatility in 2020 Goldman Sachs economic model suggests volatility of 14.7 on average next year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Nominal GDP vs. S&P 500 Volatility This chart shows that the S&P 500 volatility remains high in a context of slower macroeconomic cycles. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
“Real Fed Rates Are the Most Accurate Predictor of Future S&P 500 Volatility,” Says SocGen SocGen says it is the most accurate predictor of S&P 500’s volatility over the last 50 years. Should investors be nervous about rising real interest rates? Yes, higher real interest rates mean higher borrowing costs. Real Fed funds rate is…
Average Monthly S&P 500 Returns and Volatility with Different Growth/Policy Mix Should U.S. equity investors expect anemic monthly returns this year? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Liquidity – S&P 500 21-Day Realized Volatility vs. Median S&P 500 Stock Bid-Ask Spread As equity market liquidity has deteriorated, investors should expect market swings to continue. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research