Keyword: Fed

Atlanta Fed GDPNow U.S. Real GDP Estimate The GDPNow model estimate for U.S. real GDP growth is 2.0% for 2019:Q4. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

QE in 2020 and Central Banks (the Fed, ECB and BoJ) Central banks’ QE should support financial markets next year. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

Fed Funds Rate – Target Probabilities at the Fed’s FOMC Dec. 11 Meeting Traders see a 0.7% probability of a 25-bps rate hike at the Fed’s FOMC December 11 meeting. Image: CME Group

Expected Fed Funds Rate Fed funds futures for January 2021 imply an expected rate of 1.30%. Click the Image to Enlarge

U.S. Federal Budget Spending The U.S. federal budget spending is projected to rise in the future. Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research

Philly Fed Leading Index and Recession The Philly Fed Leading Index for the United States suggests that the U.S. economy is still in expansion mode over the next 6 months. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

VIX and Fed Monetary Policy This year, the VIX average has been similar to 2018, despite Feds’ policy U-Turn in January. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research

Atlanta Fed GDPNow vs. U.S. GDP Growth The art of forecasting U.S. GDP: Atlanta Fed GDPNow vs. U.S. GDP growth. Image: Bloomberg

Federal Reserve Broad Dollar Indexes The dollar’s current level in real terms is elevated, but lower than previous peaks. Image: Peterson Institute for International Economics

Range of Returns Two Years After Fed Rate Cut Historically, equities rally significally, when the Fed eases during soft patches. Image: Barclays Research