Search Results for: Fed

New York Fed GDP Nowcast The New York Fed’s GDP Nowcast stands at 1.52% for 2021:Q2. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Click the Image to Enlarge

Recessions – Fed Funds Rate vs. Rolling 12-Month Drawdown on Multi-Asset Portfolio of FICC and Equities Could the Fed cause the next recession by raising interest rates too soon? Image: J.P. Morgan

Interest Rates – Fed Rate Hike Markets are now pricing in at least one rate hike in the first quarter of 2023, based on expectations for higher inflation and strong growth. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management

Market-Implied Path of the Fed Funds Rate Markets are pricing almost 3 rate hikes from the Fed by the end of 2023. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Interest Rates – Fed Rate Hikes Is the market overpricing odds of Fed rate hike? Image: J.P. Morgan

2-Year Fed Funds Expectations vs. U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yields There is a positive correlation between the change in Fed funds expectations and the change in U.S. 10-year Treasury yields. Image: BofA Global Research

Interest Rates – U.S. Federal Funds Rate Expectations Markets price in further rate hikes. Is inflation a risk? Image: Oxford Economics

U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield and Fed: Months to Hike Should investors expect higher U.S. 10-year Treasury yields over the coming months? Image: Alpine Macro

FedEx vs. World Trade (Leading Indicator) Fedex tends to lead world trade by 6 months. Image: Nordea and Macrobond

U.S. 10Y-2Y Yield Curve and Fed Balance Sheet Total Reserves What is the risk of tapering? After Dec-13 tapering, the U.S. Treasury yield curve flattened considerably. Image: Deutsche Bank