U.S. Consumer vs. Corporate Debt

U.S. Consumer vs. Corporate Debt This chart puts interest rates on non-prime consumer credit accounts into perspective vs. CCC corporate bonds. Picture source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Consumption Growth and Household Debt

Consumption Growth and Household Debt This chart shows the effects of household debt and suggests that high household debt limits consumer spending. Picture source: Oxford Economics

Lower Returns for Stocks in the Next 12 Months?

Lower Returns for Stocks in the Next 12 Months? Morgan Stanley’s cyclical indicator is flagging “downturn.” The yield curve’s slope, debt issuance, consumer confidence, economic and financial markets data are aggregated in Morgan Stanley’s cyclical indicator. The entry into the “downturn” phase suggests lower returns for stocks and risky assets in the next 12 months. Picture…

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