Cumulative Flows to Cryptocurrency Funds For two straight months, crypto funds have faced relentless outflows, with Bitcoin vehicles taking the heaviest hits. Now the flow picture is improving as buyers step back in. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Fed Funds Rate The market’s baseline has shifted: traders see about 50 bp of Fed tightening over the next several months, something that would have been hard to believe in January. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Median Monthly Flow into Equity Mutual Funds and ETFs as a % of Total AUM Historically, May has been the month with the largest outflows from equity mutual funds and ETFs, hardly surprising given how frequently stocks lose momentum during the month. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Fed Funds Rate Markets are now pricing in a meaningful chance of a Fed rate hike in 2026, something that looked very unlikely at the start of the year. Image: MarketDesk Research
Fed Funds Rate vs. Gasoline Price / Core CPI When gasoline prices rise faster than inflation and move in step with growth, the Fed tends to lift rates. But what is the determining factor this time: strong demand or deep strain? It’s clearly the latter. Image: TS Lombard
% of Large-Cap Mutual Funds Outperforming their Benchmarks Active large-cap funds are enjoying an early win, with 57% topping their benchmarks so far this year, well above the average of 37%. But if history is any guide, keeping that edge will be tough. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Tax Refunds and U.S. Equity Fund Flows U.S. equity fund inflows tend to pick up sharply during tax refund season. History suggests the next few weeks could see another wave of cash hitting the market. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Fed Funds Rate and Fed Funds Futures Lower tariff rates and a dovish shift at the Fed could set the stage for rate cuts below 3.5% by year‑end, assuming inflation keeps drifting toward target and growth stays soft. Image: Deutsche Bank
Equity Net Long Positioning – Leveraged Funds and Asset Managers Net Future Positions Leveraged funds and asset managers aren’t back to their peak long bets in U.S. stock futures, and with growth resilient, easier policy, and profits steady, the rally might still have legs. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Percentage of U.S. Large-Cap Equity Mutual Funds Beating the S&P 500 In 2025, only a small minority of large‑cap active equity funds kept pace with the S&P 500. Managers who underweighted the “Magnificent Seven” were punished as the market’s leadership grew even more concentrated. Image: Bloomberg
Fed Funds Rate – Target Probabilities at the Fed’s FOMC Meeting Traders aren’t betting heavily on a Fed rate cut at the January 28, 2026 FOMC meeting, with markets pricing in just an 18.8% chance of a 25 bps reduction. Image: CME Group