ISM Manufacturing Index vs. S&P 500 Index This chart shows the correlation between the ISM manufacturing index and the S&P 500 index year-over-year percent change, since 2011. U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index declined to 55.4% in September. Keep in mind that it is a survey. Click the Image to Enlarge
Correlation with Vaccine Optimism (Value, Defensives, S&P 500, Cyclicals and Growth) Value could outperform as vaccine optimism increases. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index vs. U.S. Core CPI (Core Inflation Leading Indicator) U.S. annual core CPI at 1.7% in August. This chart suggests that the U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index leads U.S. Core CPI by 24 months. You may also like “ISM Manufacturing Index vs. S&P 500 Index” and “U.S. Core Inflation Expected Over the Next…
U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI vs. 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield 10-year U.S. Treasury yields tend to move with the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI, but the disconnect persists. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
S&P 500 vs. ISM PMI and S&P 500 Earnings Revisions Breadth Chart suggesting that the S&P 500 is simply following the rebound in both PMIs and earnings revisions breadth. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
% of S&P 500 Companies Beating Quarterly EPS Estimates vs. U.S. Manufacturing ISM So far, 84% of S&P 500 companies have exceeded estimates, thanks to coronavirus cuts to forecasts. Image: J.P. Morgan
SOX Semiconductor Index vs. ISM New Orders Semiconductors suggest ISM levels above 60. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Nasdaq 100 Optimism Index Pullback on the horizon? The Nasdaq 100 Optimism Index’s Average is the highest for the last 20 years. Image: Axios Visuals
U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI vs. 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yields 10-year U.S. Treasury yields tend to move with the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI. Image: Credit Suisse Research
ISM Manufacturing PMI vs. Cyclicals/Defensives The outperformance of U.S. cyclicals could suggest that the U.S. economic activity has bottomed. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond