New York Fed GDP Nowcast

New York Fed GDP Nowcast The New York Fed’s GDP Nowcast stands at 2.86% for 2020:Q4. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Change in Debt-to-GDP Between Q4-2019 and Q3-2020

Change in Debt-to-GDP Between Q4-2019 and Q3-2020 Countries are accumulating record amounts of debt. This chart puts into perspective the rise in debt-to-GDP ratio by country between Q4-2019 and Q3-2020. Image: Deutsche Bank

Bull-Bear GDP Growth Forecasts

Bull-Bear GDP Growth Forecasts The bull case scenario consists of a more accommodative fiscal policy and a faster return to normal with a vaccine broadly available more quickly. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

China vs. U.S. – Projected GDP

China vs. U.S. – Projected GDP China is expected to overtake the United States as the world’s largest economy in the near future. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions

Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs at -11.75% YoY in October, are a good leading indicator before a recession (red line at -3.5%). In 2001 and 2007, when Temporary Help Services Jobs were below -3.5% YoY, a recession began in the United States.