Search Results for: GDP

New York Fed GDP Nowcast The New York Fed’s GDP Nowcast stands at 1.52% for 2021:Q2. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Click the Image to Enlarge

U.S. GDP Forecast – Return to Pre-COVID-19 GDP Path Morgan Stanley expects U.S. GDP to reach its pre-COVID-19 GDP trend by 3Q21 and then rise above it. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

Global Economy – GDP Growth Projections Global growth is now projected at 6.0% in 2021 and 4.4% in 2022. Image: International Monetary Fund

Small Cap Stocks – S&P 500 and U.S. Nominal YoY GDP Growth Historically, small-caps tend to outperform large-caps during periods of accelerated GDP growth. Image: BofA ETF Research

Incremental Nominal GDP from each $1 of Additional Debt vs. U.S. Non-Financial Debt % of GDP Rising U.S. debt with falling nominal GDP per $1 of incremental debt suggests insolvency by 2040. Image: Stifel

Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs at -4.33% YoY in March, are a good leading indicator before a recession (red line at -3.5%). In 2001 and 2007, when Temporary Help Services Jobs were below -3.5% YoY, a recession began in the United States.

Quarterly U.S. Real GDP Relative to Prerecession Path Is the U.S. economy on fire, as U.S. real GDP has recovered faster than normal? Image: Morgan Stanley Research

U.S. Real GDP and Stock-to-Bond Ratio (Leading Indicator) The stock-to-bond ratio tends to lead U.S. real GDP by 5 months. Image: Alpine Macro

Scatter Plot S&P 500 Index Returns to GDP 8% GDP growth in 2021 comes out to a 6.9% return for the S&P 500 Index. Image: LPL Financial LLC

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and U.S. GDP as Percent of Global GDP Should investors expect the U.S. dollar to depreciate further over the next few years? Image: BCA Research