Search Results for: GDP

Atlanta Fed GDPNow U.S. Real GDP Estimate The GDPNow model estimate for U.S. real GDP growth is now 4.9% for 2023:Q3. There are currently no signs of a recession. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

China Real GDP Growth Forecast The downturn in growth in China may be stabilizing. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Consensus U.S. GDP Growth Could the United States experience a significant deceleration in GDP growth in the near future? Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

U.S. Real GDP “New-New Normal” Will a sustained period of low economic growth be the “new normal” for the United States? Image: Real Investment Advice

U.S. GDP Growth U.S. nominal GDP has made a fast recovery since the 2020 recession. Image: BofA Global Research

Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs at -5.91% YoY in August, are a good leading indicator before a recession (red line at -3.5%). In 2001, 2007 and 2020, when Temporary Help Services Jobs were below -3.5% YoY, a recession was on the horizon in the United States.

China Real GDP Growth vs. Current Activity Indicator (CAI) Goldman Sachs forecasts China real GDP growth of 5.4% in 2023 and 4.5% in 2024. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. GDP Growth Goldman Sachs is still more positive on U.S. GDP growth compared to the consensus. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Government Spending as % of GDP U.S. government spending as a share of GDP is expected to rise significantly over the next 10 years, which could pose sustainability challenges. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

Real S&P 500 and Real GDP The excesses of the U.S. stock market tend to correct themselves over time. Image: Real Investment Advice