Search Results for: GDP

New York Fed GDP Nowcast The New York Fed’s GDP Nowcast stands at 2.86% for 2020:Q4. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Change in Debt-to-GDP Between Q4-2019 and Q3-2020 Countries are accumulating record amounts of debt. This chart puts into perspective the rise in debt-to-GDP ratio by country between Q4-2019 and Q3-2020. Image: Deutsche Bank

U.S. GDP Forecast – Return to Pre-COVID-19 GDP Path Morgan Stanley expects U.S. GDP to return to pre-COVID-19 GDP path by 4Q21. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

Bull-Bear GDP Growth Forecasts The bull case scenario consists of a more accommodative fiscal policy and a faster return to normal with a vaccine broadly available more quickly. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

Global GDP Forecast – Return to Pre-Covid GDP Path Morgan Stanley expects the global economy will enter the next phase of the V-shaped recovery. Image: Morgan Stanley

Global (Equity + Bond) Total Returns Relative to GDP This week, the coronavirus vaccine news sent financial markets to the moon. Image: BofA Global Research

China vs. U.S. – Projected GDP China is expected to overtake the United States as the world’s largest economy in the near future. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

U.S. Government Spending as % of GDP The fastest fiscal contraction looms. Image: BofA Research Investment Committee

Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs at -11.75% YoY in October, are a good leading indicator before a recession (red line at -3.5%). In 2001 and 2007, when Temporary Help Services Jobs were below -3.5% YoY, a recession began in the United States.

Performance Based on Congress Makeup – Average S&P 500 Index Annual Return and Average GDP Historically, a divided congress was a tailwind for the S&P 500. Image: LPL Financial LLC