U.S. Surplus/Deficit As A Percentage of GDP

U.S. Surplus/Deficit As A Percentage of GDP The US federal government’s budget deficit jumps above $1 trillion for the first time over the past 12 months. Image: Bianco Research

U.S. Business Cycle: Actual vs. Potential U.S. Real GDP

U.S. Business Cycle: Actual vs. Potential U.S. Real GDP The mature phase of the U.S. business cycle began 2 years ago. If inflation remains stable and the Fed avoids restrictive monetary policy, then the risk of recession is reduced. Image: NBF Economics and Strategy

U.S. Real GDP and Productivity

U.S. Real GDP and Productivity The U.S. economy is slowing down and productivity falls by most since 2015. Is the drop in productivity temporary? Image: Oxford Economics

U.S. Stock-to-Bond Ratio Leads U.S. Real GDP

U.S. Stock-to-Bond Ratio Leads U.S. Real GDP Chart suggesting that the U.S. stock-to-bond ratio leads U.S. real GDP by 6 months, which could indicate higher GDP growth. Image: Alpine Macro