Search Results for: GDP

U.S. Surplus/Deficit As A Percentage of GDP The US federal government’s budget deficit jumps above $1 trillion for the first time over the past 12 months. Image: Bianco Research

U.S. Business Cycle: Actual vs. Potential U.S. Real GDP The mature phase of the U.S. business cycle began 2 years ago. If inflation remains stable and the Fed avoids restrictive monetary policy, then the risk of recession is reduced. Image: NBF Economics and Strategy

G4 Central Bank Balance Sheet as % of GDP and MSCI World Index G4 central bank balance sheet (Fed, ECB, BoJ, BoE) as % of GDP is expanding. Image: Jeroen Blokland

U.S. Manufacturing and Services Value Added in Percentage of U.S. GDP U.S. manufacturing has decreased over the past decades and is now more than five times smaller than the service sector. Image: Macrobond

Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey Leads U.S. Real GDP Growth Chart suggesting that the Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey leads U.S. real GDP by 3 months. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

U.S. Small Business Sales Expectations and Nominal U.S. GDP Growth Chart showing the correlation between U.S. small business sales expectations and nominal U.S. GDP growth, and the impact of small businesses to the U.S. economy. Image: Blackstone

U.S. Real GDP and Productivity The U.S. economy is slowing down and productivity falls by most since 2015. Is the drop in productivity temporary? Image: Oxford Economics

U.S. Stock-to-Bond Ratio Leads U.S. Real GDP Chart suggesting that the U.S. stock-to-bond ratio leads U.S. real GDP by 6 months, which could indicate higher GDP growth. Image: Alpine Macro

Atlanta Fed GDPNow U.S. Real GDP Estimate The GDPNow model estimate for U.S. real GDP growth is 1.0% for 2019:Q4. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

ISM Non-Manufacturing Index, ISM Manufacturing Index and U.S. GDP U.S. ISM indices suggest a slowdown in the US growth rate, but not an imminent recession. Image source: ING Economics