Spread Between BBB-Rated Corporate Bond Yield and 90-Day U.S. Treasury Bill Yield As Warren Buffett once said, “be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.” Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
BB vs. BBB Corporate Bond Spread The relative spread between BB and BBB corporate bonds remains stable, which is good news. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Correlation – CCC vs. BBB-rated U.S. Corporate Bonds Investors rush into junk bonds. Is it time to worry? Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
Corporate Bonds – Share of Market Value in Bloomberg Barclays USD IG (AAA, AA, A, BBB) Credit quality is deteriorating, as the amount of BBB-rated bonds, one step away from junk bonds, has doubled since 1990. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
Credit Risk – U.S. BBB Spreads Outside of GFC and the Great Depression, U.S. BBB spreads have never been higher. Image: Deutsche Bank
Corporate Bonds: IG Downgrade to HY and BBB Share of U.S. IG Market This chart highlights the resilience of BBB-rated bonds. BofA believes that there is little risk that IG ratings will fall to junk status in the next recession. Image: BofA Global Research
BBB Debt by Sector in the U.S. By sector in the U.S., financial institutions have the largest amount of ‘BBB’ debt: $744 billion. That’s 53% of investment-grade bonds in the United States. You may also like “The U.S. Corporate Bond Debt Rated ‘BBB’ Exceeds $3 trillion.” Image: S&P Global Fixed Income Research
The U.S. Corporate Bond Debt Rated ‘BBB’ Exceeds $3 trillion The U.S. corporate bond debt rated ‘BBB’ exceeds $3 trillion. That’s 53% of investment-grade bonds in the United States. Any drop in the credit ratings could amplify the next recession: many investment grade investors own BBB-rated bonds, but are not allowed to hold junk-rated bonds.…
U.S. Corporate Debt Outstanding by S&P Ratings Should investors be worried? The proportion of BBB-rated bonds has increased significantly over time. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
Value of U.S. Corporate Bonds by Rating Since the Great Recession, the U.S. corporate bond debt rated ‘BBB’ exceeds $3 trillion. If the U.S. economy goes wrong, this is bad news for investors. Image: The Wall Street Journal