Proportion of U.S. Junk Bonds Maturing Within Four Years
Proportion of U.S. Junk Bonds Maturing Within Four Years A third of the $1.2 trillion U.S. junk bonds matures in the next four years. This proportion is highest in decades. Image: Bloomberg
Corporate Bonds – Share of Market Value in Bloomberg Barclays USD IG (AAA, AA, A, BBB)
Corporate Bonds – Share of Market Value in Bloomberg Barclays USD IG (AAA, AA, A, BBB) Credit quality is deteriorating, as the amount of BBB-rated bonds, one step away from junk bonds, has doubled since 1990. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
Corporate Bonds: IG Downgrade to HY and BBB Share of U.S. IG Market
Corporate Bonds: IG Downgrade to HY and BBB Share of U.S. IG Market This chart highlights the resilience of BBB-rated bonds. BofA believes that there is little risk that IG ratings will fall to junk status in the next recession. Image: BofA Global Research
Cyclicals to Defensive Stock Ratio and Treasury Bonds
Cyclicals to Defensive Stock Ratio and Treasury Bonds Market internals, the preference for large over small and quality over junk, suggest that the recovery will be modest. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Duration in Investment Grade and High Yield Corporate Bond Indices
Duration in Investment Grade and High Yield Corporate Bond Indices While yields on junk bonds are at record lows, average durations have been shortening for HY bonds and increasing for IG bonds since the 2000’s. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
Share of Market Value in Bloomberg Barclays USD IG
Share of Market Value in Bloomberg Barclays USD IG Since 1990, the amount of BBB-rated bonds has doubled. This is only one step away from junk bonds. Keep in mind that many investment grade investors own BBB-rated bonds, but they are not allowed to hold junk-rated bonds. So, any drop in the credit ratings could…
U.S. Corporate Bond Ownership
U.S. Corporate Bond Ownership More than 25% of U.S. corporate bonds are held by insurance companies. Many investment grade investors are not allowed to hold junk-rated bonds. Any drop in the credit ratings could amplify the next recession. Image: NBF Economics and Strategy
The U.S. Corporate Bond Debt Rated ‘BBB’ Exceeds $3 trillion
The U.S. Corporate Bond Debt Rated ‘BBB’ Exceeds $3 trillion The U.S. corporate bond debt rated ‘BBB’ exceeds $3 trillion. That’s 53% of investment-grade bonds in the United States. Any drop in the credit ratings could amplify the next recession: many investment grade investors own BBB-rated bonds, but are not allowed to hold junk-rated bonds.…