S&P 500 Seasonal Composite 4 Year Presidential Election Cycle The S&P 500 is following the familiar midterm‑year script, with gains often building into mid‑April before the market starts to lose momentum as the election comes into view. That midterm effect shows up almost every cycle. Image: Nautilus Research
S&P 500 Seasonality While seasonality in the S&P 500 always tells a story, midterm years rank as the weakest in the four-year presidential cycle but still deliver positive returns more often than not. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Seasonality If history is any guide, the S&P 500 is heading into its seasonally strong window, with October through December typically delivering the market’s best performance of the year. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 Seasonality Since 1928 The seasonal trends observed since 1928 indicate a pattern where July and August typically see positive stock performance, followed by a dip in late summer and a rally into the year-end. Image: BofA Global Research
Performance – Russell 2000 vs. S&P 500 Seasonality Small caps historically tend to outperform the S&P 500 from December to February. Allocating a portion of the portfolio to small cap stocks during this time may benefit investors. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Seasonality – March’s Historical Returns Historically, March tends to be a good month for U.S. stocks. Image: Real Investment Advice
Monthly S&P 500 Seasonality for Presidential Cycle Year 1 S&P 500 seasonality shows that December is historically a positive month in Presidential cycle year 1. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Seasonality Since 1985 Chart showing the S&P 500 seasonality from 1985 to 2019. This is not a forecast. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
VIX and S&P 500 Seasonality The chart shows the seasonality map for the VIX and the S&P 500, and how they move in opposite directions. Image: Topdown Charts
Monthly S&P 500 Seasonality Back to 1928 The monthly seasonality of the S&P 500 could suggest a pause in February. Image: BofA Global Research
Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 Seasonality The Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 seasonality chart from 1985 to 2018 (excluding 2008). This is not a forecast. Image: Goldman Sachs