S&P 500 Seasonal Composite Midterm Election Year The S&P 500 Seasonal Composite still points to more upside for 2026, but the path could get choppy. U.S. stocks are entering their weakest seasonal stretch, which typically runs from mid-August to early October. Image: Nautilus Research
VIX and S&P 500 Seasonality The VIX and the S&P 500 usually move in opposite directions. As volatility rises from late July into the autumn months, the period often proves challenging for U.S. stocks. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 Seasonality While seasonality in the S&P 500 always tells a story, midterm years rank as the weakest in the four-year presidential cycle but still deliver positive returns more often than not. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Seasonality If history is any guide, the S&P 500 is heading into its seasonally strong window, with October through December typically delivering the market’s best performance of the year. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 Seasonality Since 1928 The seasonal trends observed since 1928 indicate a pattern where July and August typically see positive stock performance, followed by a dip in late summer and a rally into the year-end. Image: BofA Global Research
Performance – Russell 2000 vs. S&P 500 Seasonality Small caps historically tend to outperform the S&P 500 from December to February. Allocating a portion of the portfolio to small cap stocks during this time may benefit investors. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Seasonality – March’s Historical Returns Historically, March tends to be a good month for U.S. stocks. Image: Real Investment Advice
Monthly S&P 500 Seasonality for Presidential Cycle Year 1 S&P 500 seasonality shows that December is historically a positive month in Presidential cycle year 1. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Seasonality Since 1985 Chart showing the S&P 500 seasonality from 1985 to 2019. This is not a forecast. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Monthly S&P 500 Seasonality Back to 1928 The monthly seasonality of the S&P 500 could suggest a pause in February. Image: BofA Global Research
Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 Seasonality The Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 seasonality chart from 1985 to 2018 (excluding 2008). This is not a forecast. Image: Goldman Sachs