Seasonality – S&P 500 Average Monthly Returns Since 1950 Since 1950, the S&P 500 has returned just 1.7% from May to October, versus more than 7% from November to April. When the market hits May near record highs, that already weak stretch has tended to get weaker. Image: Real Investment Advice
Seasonality – Monthly Return Stats for the S&P 500 May often looks flat for U.S. stocks on paper, but the ride is rarely smooth, with plenty of swings before the dust settles. Image: Topdown Charts
Seasonality – S&P 500 Index Average Monthly Returns March and April have a history of treating U.S. stocks well, as seasonal tailwinds lift sentiment. Maybe a dose of spring optimism is making the rounds on trading desks. History, for now, is on the bulls’ side. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 – Seasonality During Bull vs. Bear Markets (Midterm Election Years Only) Bull markets don’t offer immunity. U.S. midterm election years tend to bring choppier trading and elevated volatility for the S&P 500 until late in the year. Image: Topdown Charts
Seasonality – S&P 500 Cycle Composite for 2026 The S&P 500 Cycle Composite is flagging 2026 as a bullish but choppy year, and for now, the market is playing along with that seasonal script. Image: Ned Davis Research
Seasonality – S&P 500 Index Returns in December As the holidays approach, buyers usually return and the year-end rally tends to pick up speed in the second half of December. Historically, U.S. stocks have climbed an average of 1.4% during the month. Image: Carson Investment Research
Seasonality – Average Daily Performance of the S&P 500 After October 27, retail optimism, corporate buybacks, and institutional repositioning can inject fresh energy into U.S. markets. For many traders, it’s the unofficial start of the year-end run. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Index – Seasonal 3-Month Forward Return Historically, this is go-time for the S&P 500. If past trends hold, the next three months could deliver some of the index’s strongest cumulative gains. Image: Renaissance Macro Research
Seasonality – S&P 500 Index Returns in June Historically, the U.S. stock market often weakens—and even posts negative returns—in the latter half of June. Could this time be different? Image: Carson Investment Research
Quarterly Seasonality of S&P 500 Returns vs. STOXX Europe 600 U.S. equity returns tend to be strongest relative to Europe during the second quarter. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Seasonality – S&P 500 Returns in March Since 1950, the second half of March has tended to be favorable for U.S. stocks. This historical pattern, combined with the fact that March marks the end of the first quarter, gives bulls reasons to be optimistic. Image: Carson Investment Research