New Home Sales vs. Recessions

New Home Sales vs. Recessions Typically, a recession occurs when the annual change in New Home Sales declines by about 20%. This chart suggests that a recession from these levels would be surprising. Picture source: Calculated Risk

U.S. Total Home Sales

U.S. Total Home Sales This year, lower mortgage rates could boost U.S. home sales in the fourth quarter. Picture source: Leonard Kiefer

Home Prices Lead U.S. Consumption

Home Prices Lead U.S. Consumption This chart suggests that home prices lead U.S. consumption by 9 months. Picture source: Nordea, Sebastian Dypbukt Källman

Homeownership Disparity Deepens

Homeownership Disparity Deepens Since 1994, the gap between blacks and whites has widened, in part because starter-home prices have exploded, year after year. Inequality: you may also like “U.S. Unemployment Rate: Black or African Americans” and  “U.S. Net Worth by Wealth Bracket” and “Countries With the Highest Housing Bubble Risks.” Picture Source: Bloomberg

U.S. Existing Homes Sales

U.S. Existing Homes Sales Existing-home sales fell 1.7% in June and have been disappointing, while mortgage rates have fallen. Picture source: The Wall Street Journal

Wage Growth vs. U.S. Home Price Growth

Wage Growth vs. U.S. Home Price Growth This chart shows that U.S. home prices are rising faster than wages. There is clearly a widening gap between wage growth and house price. Today, houses are too expensive for most young people.

Home Builder Sentiment Leads Consumer Spending

Home Builder Sentiment Leads Consumer Spending Interesting chart suggesting that the NAHB housing market index leads the change in consumer spending. The latest reading for July suggests that the outlook for the U.S. economy is expected to slow. Picture source: Dr Thomas Kevin Swift


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