Search Results for: short interest

Short Interest on the Largest S&P 500 ETF Is at the Highest Since 2015 Keep in mind that the S&P 500 Index is only 5% away from its all-time high. Picture source: Bloomberg

The Short Interest in the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) to Lowest Since Late 2017 Is it a contrarian indicator? Only time will tell… The market is strong and historically, the 3rd year of a president’s term is positive (91% of the time since 1925). Source: Hedgopia

More than 200 Years of U.S. Interest Rates in One Chart This long term chart covers more than two centuries of US interest rates (yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury). Picture source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research Click the Picture to Enlarge

New York Fed Probability of Recession in Next 12 Months since 1990 When an inverted yield curve occurs, short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates. It suggests that the long-term economic outlookis poor and that the yields offered by long-term fixed income securities will continue to decline. Since 1962, no recession has occurred without an inverted…

Yield Curve Inversion, How Long Until The Recession? In recent history, once the 10-Year minus 3-Month Treasury yield spread is negative and hits 10 consecutive days, it persists for weeks/months. When an inverted yield curve occurs, short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates. It suggests that the long-term economic outlook is poor and that the yields offered…