BofA Bull & Bear Indicator History

BofA Bull & Bear Indicator History The BofA bull & bear indicator is at 7.1 and suggests a neutral signal on stocks. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy You may also like “BofA Bull & Bear Indicator.”

BofA Bull & Bear Indicator

BofA Bull & Bear Indicator The BofA bull & bear indicator is at 7.1 vs. 6.9 last week. Image: BofA Global Research

BofA Bear Market Signposts

BofA Bear Market Signposts Currently, 9 bear market signposts have been triggered vs. 15 on 10/18 market peak. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy Click the Image to Enlarge

S&P 500 – The 1994-1998-2011 Mini-Bear Analog

S&P 500 – The 1994-1998-2011 Mini-Bear Analog The “mid-cycle adjustment” analog works very well so far and suggests where the S&P 500 could go next. Image: Fidelity Investments

U.S. Equity Bear Markets and Recessions

U.S. Equity Bear Markets and Recessions In recent history, equity bear markets tend to occur six months before a recession, and when no one is looking for them. Image: BCA Research

Percent of BofA Bear Market Signposts Triggered

Percent of BofA Bear Market Signposts Triggered 79% of BofA bear market signposts were triggered on October 10, 2018 vs. 53% currently. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch US Equity & US Quant Strategy

60/40 Portfolio – Bull and Bear Markets

60/40 Portfolio – Bull and Bear Markets This is the longest bull market for balanced equity/bond portfolios in over a century, without a 10% total return drawdown. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment

MSCI ACWI Index – Bull and Bear Market

MSCI ACWI Index – Bull and Bear Market As Morgan Stanley points out, this is the “unsatisfying bear market”, difficult for both bulls and bears. Image: Morgan Stanley Research