BofAML Bull & Bear Indicator

BofAML Bull & Bear Indicator The BofAML bull & bear indicator on November 7th, 2019, suggests that investors are still bearish. Historically, it’s been positive for risky assets such as equities and commodities. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research

60/40 Portfolio – Bull and Bear Markets

60/40 Portfolio – Bull and Bear Markets This is the longest bull market for balanced equity/bond portfolios in over a century, without a 10% total return drawdown. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment

BofAML Bear Market Signposts

BofAML Bear Market Signposts Currently, 9 bear market signposts have been triggered vs. 15 on 10/18 market peak. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Click the Image to Enlarge  

MSCI ACWI Index – Bull and Bear Market

MSCI ACWI Index – Bull and Bear Market As Morgan Stanley points out, this is the “unsatisfying bear market”, difficult for both bulls and bears. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

S&P 500 – The 1994-1998-2011 Mini-Bear Analog

S&P 500 – The 1994-1998-2011 Mini-Bear Analog If the Fed cuts rate as expected, this chart suggests where the U.S. stock market (S&P 500) could go next. Image: Fidelity Investments

GS Bear Market Risk Indicator

GS Bear Market Risk Indicator Goldman Sachs’s bear market risk indicator is still at a high level. Above 60 percent, it suggests that investors should be cautious on the market. A blue line shows a bear market and/or a recession. Image: Goldman Sachs

Projecting the Bull and Bear Market

Projecting the Bull and Bear Market If a US-China trade deal is reached, this chart suggests a rally to the long-term bullish trend line at 3300. Image: Real Investment Advice

Cumulative Bull vs. Bear Markets

Cumulative Bull vs. Bear Markets Excellent chart showing that inflation-adjusted bull markets are almost completely wiped out by the subsequent bear market. Image: Real Investment Advice

Real S&P 500 Total Return and Bear Markets

Real S&P 500 Total Return and Bear Markets Very good chart showing the real S&P 500 total return and the time frame to recover from major bear markets, since 1900. Image: Real Investment Advice