Search Results for: bear

S&P 500 Bear Markets Should the S&P 500 transition into a bear market, history shows that patient investors are often rewarded in the year and two-year windows after the bear market starts. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 Bear Markets S&P 500 bear markets tied to recessions don’t end before the recession starts. Those without a recession are rare and usually short. Image: TS Lombard

S&P 500 Performance After AAII Bears Above 50% Five Straight Weeks Historically, when bearish sentiment in the AAII poll surpasses 50% for five straight weeks, U.S. stocks have shown an average return of 21% over the next 12 months, with positive returns occurring 100% of the time since 1990. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 Corrections and Bear Markets Market corrections don’t always lead to bear markets. In fact, historical data shows that only 13 of the past 39 corrections transitioned into bear markets, giving bulls reason to smile! Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 Performance After Enters a 10% Correction, But Doesn’t Go into a Bear Market Historically, when the S&P 500 falls 10% without entering a bear market, it’s a potential buying opportunity. Since 1950, it has always been higher 6 and 12 months later, with a median 12-month return of 15.2%. Image: Carson Investment Research

How Often Does a Correction Turn into a Bear Market? Historically, a 10% correction rarely leads to a 20% bear market without economic downturns, earnings declines, or rate hikes. With no very serious adverse indicators currently, a bear market seems unlikely in the near term. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 Performance After Bear (and Near Bear) Markets End Historically, the S&P 500 has consistently rebounded and performed strongly after bear markets. It has consistently delivered positive returns in the first and second year of new bull markets since World War II. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 – Seasonality During Bull vs. Bear Markets The sell-in-May effect may be more relevant in bear markets. In bull markets, it may be seen as a missed opportunity for potential gains, given the positive momentum and upward trends typically observed in the market. Image: Topdown Charts

S&P 500 – Secular Bull and Bear Markets The strong performance of the S&P 500 in 2023 and 2024 could be seen as a clear indication of a more sustained secular bull market, potentially extending until the late 2020s and early 2030s. Image: BofA Global Research Click the Image to Enlarge

AAII Investor Sentiment Bull Minus Bear Spread The AAII investor sentiment bull minus bear spread, which is in the 91th percentile, raises legitimate concerns that the market may be overheating. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

Months That S&P 500 Index Bear (and Near Bear) Markets End U.S. stocks have demonstrated a tendency to reach their lowest point of decline during the month of October, a pattern that has been observed over time. Image: Carson Investment Research