Search Results for: bear

S&P 500 Bear Markets S&P 500 bear markets tied to recessions don’t end before the recession starts. Those without a recession are rare and usually short. Image: TS Lombard

S&P 500 Performance After AAII Bears Above 50% Five Straight Weeks Historically, when bearish sentiment in the AAII poll surpasses 50% for five straight weeks, U.S. stocks have shown an average return of 21% over the next 12 months, with positive returns occurring 100% of the time since 1990. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 Performance After Enters a 10% Correction, But Doesn’t Go into a Bear Market Historically, when the S&P 500 falls 10% without entering a bear market, it’s a potential buying opportunity. Since 1950, it has always been higher 6 and 12 months later, with a median 12-month return of 15.2%. Image: Carson Investment Research

How Often Does a Correction Turn into a Bear Market? Historically, a 10% correction rarely leads to a 20% bear market without economic downturns, earnings declines, or rate hikes. With no very serious adverse indicators currently, a bear market seems unlikely in the near term. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 Performance After Bear (and Near Bear) Markets End Historically, the S&P 500 has consistently rebounded and performed strongly after bear markets. It has consistently delivered positive returns in the first and second year of new bull markets since World War II. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 – Seasonality During Bull vs. Bear Markets The sell-in-May effect may be more relevant in bear markets. In bull markets, it may be seen as a missed opportunity for potential gains, given the positive momentum and upward trends typically observed in the market. Image: Topdown Charts

Months That S&P 500 Index Bear (and Near Bear) Markets End U.S. stocks have demonstrated a tendency to reach their lowest point of decline during the month of October, a pattern that has been observed over time. Image: Carson Investment Research

Structural Bull and Bear Markets Structural bear markets can be very painful for investors, as they can lead to prolonged periods of market decline and economic hardship. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

Peak-to-Trough Declines in Historical Bear Markets Since 1929 A new bull market in U.S. stocks has officially begun, marking the end of the bear market. Image: BofA US Equity & US Quant Strategy

Bear Market – List of Indicators That Have Typically Occured Before Market Bottom Only 50% of signposts have been triggered vs. 80% before prior market bottoms. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy Click the Image to Enlarge  

New Bull Markets Start (20% Off Bear Lows) and What Happened Next for the S&P 500 Historically, positive outcomes have typically occurred over the next 12 months once U.S. stocks gain 20% off bear lows. Image: Carson Investment Research