U.S. 10-Year Treasury Price Return During Bear Bond Markets
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Price Return During Bear Bond Markets Worried about a bear bond market? Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Price Return During Bear Bond Markets Worried about a bear bond market? Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Index Quickest Bear Markets After a New All-Time High One year ago started the quickest bear market ever after a new all-time high. Image: LPL Research
S&P 500 – Bull vs. Bear Signal Using Search Topics The spread between bullish and bearish search topics is very high. Bullish: call options, bull spreads, long, swing trading, leaps,… Bearish: put options, short, volatility, recession,… Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
Bear Market – MSCI IMI All-Cap Country Indexes Outside the United States, will the 20-year bear market come to an end? Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
MSCI World Recoveries out of Bear Markets since 1970 After the shortest, and one of the sharpest bear markets in history, the MSCI World recovery is comparable to post-Global Financial Crisis. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
MSCI World Index Around Bear Markets Since 1970 After the shortest, and one of the sharpest bear markets in history, the MSCI World is up 12% for the year. Image: Financial Times
MSCI AC Asia Pacific Excluding Japan Index – MXAPJ Performance Before/After Bear Market Through Since 1970 The MSCI AC Asia Pacific Excluding Japan Index is up 66% from the March lows. The rally is much stronger than previous bounces since 1970.
U.S. 10-Year Bond Yields Around Bear Markets Low and anchored bond yields during the recovery help to explain the strong rise in equity valuations. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Cyclical Stocks – World Cyclicals vs. Defensives Around Bear Markets Cyclicals have recovered vs. defensives, in line with the average recovery, but they have lagged the post-GFC recovery. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Bull-Bear GDP Growth Forecasts The bull case scenario consists of a more accommodative fiscal policy and a faster return to normal with a vaccine broadly available more quickly. Image: Morgan Stanley Research