Demographics – U.S. Population Aging and Pension Demand for Bonds This chart suggests that U.S. pension demand for bonds is going to increase, as the proportion of 65+ rises. Image: Oxford Economics, Macrobond
S&P 500 Performance After Green in Both May and June Since 1988, when the S&P 500 gains in both May and June—a rare bullish sign—the rest of the year rose 15 of 16 times, averaging 8.8% gains, indicating strong momentum and positive investor sentiment for the year’s second half. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Various Declines per Year Market fluctuations are normal in investing, so effectively understanding and managing volatility is crucial for investors aiming to achieve favorable returns in financial markets. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Bull Markets Over the past five decades, five bull markets have lasted over two years, averaging 8 years and gaining 288%. Since the current bull market is just 32 months old and has risen 68%, it may still have plenty of room to grow. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 After 5% Gain In May Historically, when May delivers a gain of over 5%, June tends to see continued strength, and the following 12 months have always produced positive returns, averaging close to 20% since 1985. Image: Carson Investment Research
Average S&P 500 Return in Session Following a Down Day In 2025, investors who bought the dip in the U.S. stock market experienced the highest next-day returns in over 30 years, with the S&P 500 averaging a 0.36% gain in the trading session following a down day. Image: Yahoo Finance
S&P 500 Performance After >70% Advancers Three Days in a Row on the NYSE Historically, three consecutive days with over 70% NYSE advancers signal strong bullish momentum. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has delivered positive 12-month returns 96% of the time, averaging an 18.9% gain. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 and Zweig Breadth Thrust Bulls have reason to smile as the Zweig Breadth Thrust has perfectly predicted S&P 500 gains in all 19 post-WWII instances, averaging 23.4% returns within a year and never producing losses over 6- or 12-month horizons. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Valuations The composite S&P 500 valuation indicator—which integrates PE ratios, equity risk premia, and price-based mean reversion factors—has recently reset to a level close to neutral, which is an encouraging sign. Image: Topdown Charts
Huge Advancing Volume as a % of Total Volume and What the S&P 500 Did Next NYSE’s surging advancing volume on Wednesday is highly bullish, with historical data since 1980 showing the S&P 500 consistently gaining over 3-, 6-, and 12-month periods afterward, averaging a 29.2% annual return. Image: Carson Investment Research
Average Daily Equity ETF Flow vs. S&P 500 Performance Despite the S&P 500’s decline in Q1 2025, investors continued pouring money into equity ETFs, averaging nearly $3bn daily inflows—a sign of persistent appetite for U.S. equities amid volatility. Image: Strategas Research Partners