High-Yield Option-Adjusted Spread and Banks Reporting Tightening C&L Loan Standards Banks are tightening lending standards amid uncertain economic outlook, while credit spreads have largely normalized. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Coronavirus – Tightening and Easing Restrictions in the U.S. Tightening restrictions are rising, as daily coronavirus cases spike in the U.S. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Net Percentage of Central Banks Tightening Global central banks battle the slowdown by cutting at fastest rate since the Great Financial Crisis. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Investment Strategy
China Credit Impulse and Number of Central Banks Easing vs. Tightening Lead Global Manufacturing PMI
China Credit Impulse and Number of Central Banks Easing vs. Tightening Lead Global Manufacturing PMI This chart suggests that China credit impulse and the number of central banks easing vs. tightening lead global manufacturing PMI by 6 months. Credit impulse is the change in new credit issued as a percentage of GDP. Image: J.P. Morgan
S&P 500 Around the End of Fed Tightening As the chart shows, the S&P 500 has performed well on average, around the end of Fed tightening. You may also like “S&P 500 Performance Around Previous Fed Cuts.” Image: Morphic Asset Management Pty Ltd
Every Fed Tightening Cycle Has Preceded a Slowdown in the ISM Manufacturing Index Since 1950, pullbacks in the ISM Manufacturing Index has coincided with a recession or market selloff, except in 1995. Image: U.S. Global Investors
Prescient Economist & Fed Expert Paul McCulley on No Recession Ahead & Fed’s Tightening Done Paul Allen McCulley is an American economist, strategist and former managing director at PIMCO. He speaks with Consuelo Mack on WealthTrack about the Fed, credit bubbles, and why he does not expect a recession soon.
Bank Business Lending Standards U.S. banks are tightening lending standards amid uncertain economic outlook. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. TED Spread The TED spread (spread between 3-month LIBOR and 3-month Treasury bill) shows that financial conditions are tightening at the fastest pace since the 2008 crisis.
Dow Jones Performance Under Various U.S. Presidents This chart puts into perspective the Dow Jones performance under various U.S. presidents. The annualized return under President Trump is high, given tightening monetary policy. Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC