Relative Performance MSCI Europe vs. MSCI USA

Relative Performance MSCI Europe vs. MSCI USA The relative performance of European stocks vs. the U.S. is at its lowest level in 50 years. Will this year be Europe’s time to outperform? Image: Legg Mason

USA – Explaining 10-Year Yields

USA – Explaining 10-Year Yields This great chart suggests that demographics and globalization explain U.S. 10-year yields. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC

Global Manufacturing PMIs – USA vs. Rest of the World

Global Manufacturing PMIs – USA vs. Rest of the World Global ex-US manufacturing PMI is below 50 (contraction). We will see if the United States can go it alone in the coming months. You may also like “ISM Manufacturing Index vs. S&P 500 Index since 2011“ Image: Topdown Charts

Most Important Variables When Forecasting Real GDP

Most Important Variables When Forecasting Real GDP Search trends are very different between China (manufacturing industry) and the USA/Eurozone (consumer), when forecasting real GDP. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC

How “NO-DEAL Brexit” Would Affect the World’s Economy?

How “NO-DEAL Brexit” Would Affect the World’s Economy? What could a no-deal Brexit mean for developing countries? Main losers if there is a no-deal Brexit: European Union and Turkey. Main winners if there is a no-deal Brexit: China, USA, Japan, Thailand, South Africa, India, Brazil. Image: howmuch.net, UNCTAD

Global Earnings since 2006

Global Earnings since 2006 This chart shows global earnings since 2006 (USA, Emerging Markets, Japan and Europe). As Warren Buffett said: “for 240 years, it’s been a terrible mistake to bet against America.” This chart below illustrates it well since 2006. You may also like “Earnings Matter, Over the Long Run.” Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management