S&P 500 Index Pre and Post Fed Rate Cuts

S&P 500 Index Pre and Post Fed Rate Cuts This chart shows what the market has done every time the Fed cut rates since 1984. One step closer to recession? Picture source: UBS

Dow Jones Industrial Average Around Second Fed Rate Cut

Dow Jones Industrial Average Around Second Fed Rate Cut This chart shows that a second rate cut has been bullish. On average, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained 19% over the next 12 months. Picture source: Ned Davis Research

Fed Rate Cut vs. ISM Manufacturing Index and ISM Non-Manufacturing Index

Fed Rate Cut vs. ISM Manufacturing Index and ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Since 1997, when the ISM Manufacturing Index is below 50 and the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index is above 52, the Fed is less aggressive, with about 68bp of easing on average. Picture source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Fed Rate Cuts Priced In and Recession

Fed Rate Cuts Priced In and Recession Insurance cuts or recessionary cuts? It usually doesn’t end well, when the bond market begins to price in more than three rate cuts over the next 6 months. Picture source: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research